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[–]EthnocratArcheofuturist 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

He looked at primary performances for every presidential election since 1912, and his model has been accurate 25 out of 27 times. The 2 times he got it wrong was for 1960 and 2000, which were both dubious elections. He's confident Trump will win because no sitting president has ever had a better performance in the primaries. I really think you should try to watch the video I linked in full. He's definitively a smart guy.