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[–]Three_Rainbow_Dildossocks alts: boobiebrother, crustybutt, dingoatemytaco, schizoid 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

A few weeks ago I asked you about Zemmour's election chances. At that time, you were confident that the polls were wrong and that Zemmour would also increase his popularity in last few weeks before the election. By contrast, my opinion was that Macron would easily be re-elected, albeit by less of a margin, much closer to 55-45 than the previous 66-33 result.

I take it that you've backed away from that position? The last three polls showing that the difference between the Maricón and Le Pen is only 53-47 indeed represent the best chance we have for ridding France of the Maricón and the LREM and moving things in a marginally better direction. They can think about getting someone better than Le Pen after these fools are gone.

If Le Pen wins the election, then in a sense it is Zemmour who has indeed been responsible. You provide one reason: the scumfuck, flagrantly partisan mass media have spent so much time and energy inciting the idiot masses to hate Zemmour, which means that they have less time and energy to also incite them to hate Le Pen.

Another reason is also quite obvious: Zemmour's being more Right-wing helps to normalize Le Pen. Le Pen simply can't be painted as Far-Right if Zemmour also is, because Zemmour is more militant and provocative than Le Pen. With Zemmour reducing France's Overton Window's extreme-Left bias, the masses can better see that Le Pen and the RN are essentially harmless Centre-Right conservatives whose politics are far closer to those of Chirac than those of the Vichy.

I think a third factor might be present, and that's simply the longevity of the RN. They've been around for decades and haven't harmed, deported or killed anyone. At some point, some of the paranoiac masses must come to realize that the usual narrative makes no sense whatsoever. They simply aren't Far-Right outside of strongly Left-biased minds.

It's like how so many of these paranoid American Left-liberal morons still think that Trump will exterminate or mass deport some group or start a nuclear and/or world war if he is re-elected in 2024. That narrative obviously makes far less sense between 2024-2028 than in 2016-2020 simply because he did not even remotely approach doing any of these things in that time period. At some point, any thinking voter has to ask just why it takes him to be elected a second time to do the things that he was supposed to have done the first time around.

I think that is one reason why Trump increased his Hispanic vote in 2020: the fearmongering about 'Don't vote Trump, he will deport all Hispanics' simply made far less sense than in 2016. Now think what happens if the Trump family had been running in elections for decades? How convincing would the Democrats sound if they said: 'Sure, they haven't mass deported Hispanics over these past few decades like we said they would... but... we're still correct, if we elect them just this one more time... just trust us, they really will'.

At some point, people just have to accept that Le Pen and the RN are, like Trump, really quite moderate and actually have no intentions whatsoever to mass murder or mass deport anyone.

[–]EthnocratArcheofuturist[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

I take it that you've backed away from that position?

Not entirely. I still think the polls could be wrong.