Zemmour seen breaking Macron-Le Pen duopoly in 2022 French election - poll

submitted by EthnocratArcheofuturist from self.debatealtright

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[–]JuliusCaesar225Nationalist + Socialist 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

Can't splitting the vote between both of them cause them both to lose?

[–]EthnocratArcheofuturist[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Not going to happen.

[–]block_socks 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Pretty sure this will be the effect of Zemmour whether by intention or not. I think he would be a disaster for numerous reasons; in particular, that he doesn't actually have a party to keep the Right in power after his Presidential term. It is much safer to vote for Le Pen in the hope that RN becomes a lasting force after they get into power.

If this happens, I imagine French politics largely becoming RN vs. EELV. The Green Left is replacing the Red Left in Europe, even after choosing a disastrous candidate in Germany they were still surpassing the SPD, but the SPD has now won because Green voters have shifted back because of the scandals around the Green candidate.

Then we'll see something like a Macron vs. Melenchon second round. Macron will win this safely. Whatever happens, Macron's second term is practically secured. The only question is whose votes he will win on (if against Melenchon, he'll win with Right votes; if against Le Pen or Zemmour, he'll win with Left/non-white votes).