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[–]milkmender11 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

Are you of the misconception that race realists believe that there exists a fixed number of races? This is not the case. No one holds that position.

Cop out. You refuse to answer the question because you know you can't. There are as many races as you want to see. Just because a bunch of people have decided that they refuse to answer a question because they can't, that doesn't mean it is a defensible position. It isn't. This is your 'turtles all the way down' moment. Scientists DO have an answer for how many species of sea cucumbers we have documented. They DO have an answer for how many subspecies of grey wolves there are. Why don't YOU have an answer? The rest of the scientific world isn't shy about this when it comes to taxonomic classification, but you have got cold feet all of a sudden.

Are you conflating me with someone else?

Nope. No conflation. I mean exactly what I said. Your first link contains data from studies that were conducted using STRUCTURE. They are landmark studies, often the first cited in these discussions, and cite them first you did.

I simply want to argue that race is real.

Of course race is real. I would never say something so ridiculous as 'race isn't real.' Race is one of the most consequential and painfully real things in the modern world, perhaps the single most consequential. But it isn't a scientific concept. It is a social construct emerging out of the biological reality of our intuitive, cognitive racial-classification modules. In fact, with reference to those modules, in a way, race IS biology. Not in the way people think of it, as a real attribute of human population genetics, but as a little part of our brain that has evolved to see race wherever we look, because so far it has proved adaptive.

The same objections that you're using against race can be used to deconstruct the concept of species.

No, they can't. As I explained before, you are using the color spectrum argument that you already admitted you reject. I say that SPECIES is a legitimate taxonomic classification and SUBSPECIES is not. You say that my same gripes with subspecies can deconstruct species as well. This is identical to someone saying that the gradient of colors shows that there cannot be an actual yellow, and actual orange, an actual green. The existence of intermediaries does not disprove the existence of the discreet categories. Subspecies is an intermediary between 'species' and 'individual.' It is undefined in science, or, rather, it has so many definitions as to render it mostly meaningless outside of very specific bodies of literature. Are there glimmers of inconsistency in species categories? Of course. There are discrepencies between biological, phylogenetic, cladistic species, etc. That does not mean that the vague and undefined intermediary (subspecies) somehow deligitimizes the defined and specific category (species). That is the color spectrum argument. You said you disagreed with it (even though I never brought it up until you did), and then you used it to try and delegitimize the species concept.

No, it didn't.

Yes, it did. I have an excellent source for this. YOUR video. Didn't quite remember Josh saying that one bit, eh? ;)

I have been very generous in that I have willingly gone into the territory you chose, stats and ML, just to show that you will lose even on your home turf. But we have hardly even explored the anthropological assumptions in your argument. What are our preconceived ideas about race? How do you KNOW what the clusters are in advance? What is this information that you refuse to talk about? It is absolutely imperative to your argument. You keep saying it over and over, so obviously it is important. What are our preconceived ideas about race?

[–]DragonerneJesus is white 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Cop out. You refuse to answer the question because you know you can't. There are as many races as you want to see. Just because a bunch of people have decided that they refuse to answer a question because they can't, that doesn't mean it is a defensible position. It isn't. This is your 'turtles all the way down' moment. Scientists DO have an answer for how many species of sea cucumbers we have documented. They DO have an answer for how many subspecies of grey wolves there are. Why don't YOU have an answer? The rest of the scientific world isn't shy about this when it comes to taxonomic classification, but you have got cold feet all of a sudden.

I don't think its a cop out. You seem to be of the idea that we believe in a FIXED number of human races. Can you point to any modern geneticist that believe in race that says there is a FIXED number of human races? We can talk about the big ones like europeans, asians, africans, americans, oceanians but we can break each of these down into smaller races too.
The funny part about this is that just for entertainment, lets say I said we have 6 human races and then you run k=7 and show me that we now have 7 human races LOL, it wouldn't disprove the 6 human races. I will repeat it until you understand your misunderstanding: Its not the number of races thats important, its that the algo returns k RACIAL clusters. We didn't ask it to return RACIAL clusters. We asked it to return whatever clusters and it somehow chose to return RACIAL clusters. Out of all the millions of ways it could cluster human beings, it chose down racial lines. What a coincidence.

Nope. No conflation. I mean exactly what I said. Your first link contains data from studies that were conducted using STRUCTURE. They are landmark studies, often the first cited in these discussions, and cite them first you did.

My first link was the medium article about choosing the optimal k....

Of course race is real. I would never say something so ridiculous as 'race isn't real.' Race is one of the most consequential and painfully real things in the modern world, perhaps the single most consequential. But it isn't a scientific concept. It is a social construct emerging out of the biological reality of our intuitive, cognitive racial-classification modules. In fact, with reference to those modules, in a way, race IS biology. Not in the way people think of it, as a real attribute of human population genetics, but as a little part of our brain that has evolved to see race wherever we look, because so far it has proved adaptive.

I hope you're not referring to the sociology concept of race, where blacks = people with black skin from africa, southern india, australia, south america, because black skin != same race.
If this is not what you meant and I understood you correctly, then this is actually perfect, because this makes us able to translate from your paradigm into my paradigm. It opens a communication channel where we speak the same language.
"But it isn't a scientific concept. It is a social construct emerging out of the biological reality of our intuitive, cognitive racial-classification modules."
This is how we humans classify races. This is my preconceived ideas about racial groups. (Obviously a normie on the street wont have as good a classification as someone who works with different human populations. The race realists before DNA was discovered made a lot of different classifications of human races.

We can compare this with the biological reality.
"Not in the way people think of it, as a real attribute of human population genetics"

The clustering algorithms can help us see if our preconceived classifications match the clustering of genetic population data. If it does, then our preconceived classifications were correct, in the sense that it had a biological/genetic basis. If it does not, then it is evidence to support the hypothesis that the preconceived classifications do not have a biological/genetic basis.
We have found that they DO match with the biological reality.

Subspecies is an intermediary between 'species' and 'individual.'

'species' is an intermediary between 'animal' and 'individual'

Are there glimmers of inconsistency in species categories? Of course. There are discrepencies between biological, phylogenetic, cladistic species, etc.

Yes and how do you choose which type of "species" to use? That is a very arbitrary choice! Oh no...
Is a Tiger and a Lion even different species if they can produce offspring together? Wow, time to eliminate the entire concept of 'species'. Of course not.
Just so I'm not misunderstanding you; you don't reject 'subspecies' as a concept, right? You're just contesting if human beings have races or not.

Yes, it did. I have an excellent source for this. YOUR video. Didn't quite remember Josh saying that one bit, eh? ;)

Please be able to have an attention span of more than 1 comment back. If you use an algorithm to pick the optimal k, then you did not pick k. This algorithm could be using the elbow method for simplicity.
And if you remember I explained how the optimal k might change when we run the algorithm once, because of the randomized initial conditions of the kmeans algo. Well we can use other data analysis tools to increase the chance of finding the optimal k to any arbitrarily high percentage. So if you want to be 99,9999% sure that you are using the optimal k, then you can run the "optimal k algorithm" as a monte carlo algorithm.
There will be a risk of 0,000001% or whatever percentage risk that you tolerate that the MC algo will return, say, 8 clusters instead of 7 clusters (which was actually the optimal k)

I have been very generous in that I have willingly gone into the territory you chose, stats and ML, just to show that you will lose even on your home turf.

The reason I've went here is because of two reasons. 1: you mentioned k in an earlier post (which I know is a bogus argument) and 2: in your first reply to me, you displayed that you lacked an understanding of how the clustering actually works in the program that you're using, which led to you reaching some false conclusions and derive some misconceptions about the clustering.
It seemed to me that you either didn't understand these fundamentals (which seemed plausible considering its not your area of expertise) or you understood the fundamentals but had too low IQ to rationalize about the implications. You took it as a "win", lol. Instead you should've taken it as an invitation to learn the fundamentals and correct your misconception so that we may reach a higher level of debate and gain new insights. I am absolutely certain that you too hold knowledge where you can school me, probably also 1st year undergraduate stuff that I just OUGHT to know, but simply don't because we don't have the same background.
Engaging with you is an opportunity for me to learn, hopefully, and also an opportunity for you to learn, unless you're closeminded and think you know it all, despite that clearly not being the case.

But we have hardly even explored the anthropological assumptions in your argument. What are our preconceived ideas about race? How do you KNOW what the clusters are in advance? What is this information that you refuse to talk about? It is absolutely imperative to your argument. You keep saying it over and over, so obviously it is important. What are our preconceived ideas about race?

As a starting point we could use some of the race realist classifications from 200-100 years ago, knowing that they're outdated, wars have happend, genocides have happend and so on, but still we'll expect them to be mostly correct if we account for some historical changes and admixture events over this time period.
We will find that many of the ideas will be wrong but that the overall idea was correct.

[–]milkmender11 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

This is against all laws of data analysis.

It isn't. The program will always give you the number of clusters you ask for. Your misunderstanding is that you are mistaking BEST FIT for TRUTH. The model is only ever there as a tool to help you answer your question. It doesn't represent reality. Actually, the bad fits are just as important as the best fits. They are negative results, scientifically speaking. None of this method ever leaves the realm of the experiment. It is always a hypothetical approximation of reality which presents a picture that is either more or less useful to answering your qustion. Science trumps data analysis.

I wrote an email to Josh. Seems like a good professional contact to have. I copied your arguments here (username redacted) and asked him if he agrees with your argument about racial clusters. I'll be sure to share his reply with you when he gets back to me.

This will keep going until someone stops replying or the mods decide to step in, but, for what it's worth, there are hints of truth in the race realist narrative. It isn't scientific, but it doesn't need to be. Here, I'll make a better version of your argument for you:

"Science exists in service of human longevity and well-being. There is a truth that trumps scientific consensus, and that is the truth of which ideas work in the real world and which don't. Sure, you can poke holes in my attempt to scientifically classify races all day, but that won't change the fact that race is immensely important to people, guides their actions, motivates them to kill and hurt and riot. If, one day, there are people banging down your door because you are or aren't one race or another, you'll regret all of this obfuscation you're engaging in here. You'll regret playing science-games to catch me on technicalities, because no amount of scientific reasoning is going to persuade those people to stop crushing your door. At that point, the only 'truth' that will matter to you is the truth of your arsenal and your allies. And we have SEEN this happen, recently. By attacking the people trying to bring attention to the importance of race, you only make it that much more likely that we are overwhelmed by what we do not understand, because you refused to hear us."

[–]DragonerneJesus is white 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

It isn't. The program will always give you the number of clusters you ask for.

That's not what I'm saying. Yes, it gives you the number of clusters you ask for.
The point is that you should not BIAS your choice of k by having inspected the data previously. The point of unsupervised learning is exactly that; being unsupervised. In this case its not the 'worst' mistake a researcher can do but its a bad practice.
You can run into situations where its perfectly acceptable to do, but thats not that relevant for what we're talking about here.

Your misunderstanding is that you are mistaking BEST FIT for TRUTH

Is this some epistomology argument? If so I'm not really interested in opening that can of worms. We can put it down on a note and take this subject up again when we're done with this debate.

Science trumps data analysis.

Science is data analysis.

I wrote an email to Josh. Seems like a good professional contact to have. I copied your arguments here (username redacted) and asked him if he agrees with your argument about racial clusters. I'll be sure to share his reply with you when he gets back to me.

It will be very interesting to hear his response. Just don't spam him. A better approach would be for us to go back and forth, condense some points, figure out say 10 core arguments where we disagree, put it in a proper format and let him return back on those.

This will keep going until someone stops replying or the mods decide to step in, but, for what it's worth, there are hints of truth in the race realist narrative. It isn't scientific, but it doesn't need to be. Here, I'll make a better version of your argument for you:

"Science exists in service of human longevity and well-being. There is a truth that trumps scientific consensus, and that is the truth of which ideas work in the real world and which don't. Sure, you can poke holes in my attempt to scientifically classify races all day, but that won't change the fact that race is immensely important to people, guides their actions, motivates them to kill and hurt and riot. If, one day, there are people banging down your door because you are or aren't one race or another, you'll regret all of this obfuscation you're engaging in here. You'll regret playing science-games to catch me on technicalities, because no amount of scientific reasoning is going to persuade those people to stop crushing your door. At that point, the only 'truth' that will matter to you is the truth of your arsenal and your allies. And we have SEEN this happen, recently. By attacking the people trying to bring attention to the importance of race, you only make it that much more likely that we are overwhelmed by what we do not understand, because you refused to hear us."

This is the sociololy perspective, where race isn't biological but instead individuals are racialized by society into "politically convenient allyships". In a way, you can say that "one human race" is exactly that: a politically convenient allyship to usher in multiracial societies. But I'm sorry for getting political, so lets leave it at that and keep us grounded in biology and genetics and data analysis, not sociology.
I somewhat agree with the quote though, and I know that many in the alt right sphere definitely agrees with the quote.