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[–]Hematomato 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

There are case studies on people with lifelong gender dysphoria, which show how some people are certain of their transgender status from pretty much the time they can form words..

I'm getting the sense that what you're really trying to say is "there is no objective, one-hundred percent reliable assay for whether someone will grow out of childhood gender dysphoria."

That, of course, is true. But the perfect is the enemy of the good. The "always assume they'll grow out of it" policy is going to do harm to 10% of patients.

I am quite sure we can do better than that by simply allowing parents and doctors to use their discretion.

[–]Canbot 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

"there is no objective, one-hundred percent reliable assay

There is nothing with any efficacy. Your claim that you can tell is bullshit. You can't. No one can. None of the studies shows that you can.

If you or anyone had anything like that with any efficacy at all it would be getting used. Instead you are making baseless claims that you can tell with zero evidence, trying to pass of "hur dur trans exist" as evidence. It is not.

allowing parents and doctors to use their discretion.

They can't tell and if they could they would be treating 90% of their patients with non affirming therapy and advising them not to do anything until after puberty. That is not what is happening.