Vadimir Putin's next legitimate military target is Latvia.

submitted by jerryk from self.WayOfTheBern

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[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 4 insightful - 1 fun4 insightful - 0 fun5 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

I don't foresee this happening, at least not any time soon and if Russia can achieve its goal of continuing to supply Kalingrad without this. The Suwalki corridor, which runs from Belarus to Kalingrad more or less along the Polish-Lithanian border and was established in the 1920s, is how this was managed until the war in Ukraine.

They have other tools at their disposal, such as the tit-for-tat prohibition against the continued movement of goods from East and Southeast Asia across Russia and into the Baltic States. This would be devastating to those economies and while the Russophobia among the political leaders is off the charts, the governments aren't so solid they could easily withstand the backlash from their populations. Remember that in 2022 the Estonian government collapsed due to domestic problems. Even if large numbers of the people in these States share that Russophobia, it's unlikely it would take precedence over the bread-and-butter issues of food and economic security.

And Russia is in a different place now than it was when this NATO-driven agenda took hold, not only various Baltic States threatening the Suwalki Corridor agreement but the Scandinavian countries clearly intending to make it difficult for Russia to supply Kalingrad via sea - which smacks of a blockade that violates international standards. As fungible as these are from the UN Security Council's standpoint, pressure could be brought to bear in the UN General Assembly. It wouldn't be a slam dunk by any stretch, but would once again show NATO and the EU and the US as terrorist organizations that not only enable humanitarian crises but actively cause them.

[–]jerryk[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Could be. I guess I'm not necessarily arguing for the necessity of this, from Russia's point of view, but, for its feasibility, and attractiveness. I really believe NATO is a paper tiger by this stage, and showing that publicly could be very, very useful for Russia. I think the NATO leadership are so wrapped up in lies and unreality by this stage that they're scarcely capable of doing anything, at all, under any circumstances!

[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

It would feed into the West's propagandist rantings about Russia wanting to invade Europe and re-create the Russian Empire, and I think Russian leaders are too savvy to fall into that trap besides taking a much more nuanced and ultimately more effective approach in dealing with the West. They don't have to show the world what a paper tiger NATO is, NATO did that all by itself - a security alliance that depleted its stockpile of weapons and hasn't maintained its armed forces is rendered pathetic when it rattles its sabers. Not that they won't keep trying to foment a conflict but my guess is they'll fall back on their standard MO of color revolutions and false flags throughout the region proximate to Russia, like the snakes they are.