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[–]Site_rly_sux 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

That's not quite a good example.

A better one would be:

  • 50,000 small town church vicars have claimed that their Virgin Mary miraculously cries and it's a miracle

  • so the Vatican have a specialised squad of statue checkers who go down a checklist of verifying whether it's a miracle or really crying

  • you're certain that the statue in your small town church is miraculously crying

  • the Vatican send their guy and he works down the list.

  1. The guy in the other town was wrong about the miracle because he is blind. Let's check whether you have your glasses or contacts in

  2. Another person was wrong about the statue because they left it next to an open window and some condensation occured. Let's check if your statue is near an open window

  3. Another vicar thought their statue was crying but actually a pipe burst right above it. So let's verify your plumbing is sound

And it turns out you not only have shit plumbing but you live in Louisiana and you're blind as a bat.

In the example which you gave,

  • people discard miracles as fake all the time (...people were wrong about the collapse all the time)

  • therefore people discard the current miracle as also fake, even though they didn't check (...so you shouldn't just assume the current prediction of collapse is fake without checking)

My example is different.

  • vicars were demonstrably incorrect about miracles before and we've learned how to assess their claims about miracles with a checklist (....morons were demonstrably wrong about the collapse before and we can see why, what caused them to be wrong)

  • the same checklist proves you're an idiot and so the current miracle is fake too (...we can see you're making the exact same mistakes made by the morons in the 80s, 90s etc)