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[–]Dune1032 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

The US will be supplying Ukraine with more ATACMS. This will force Russia to move their supply depots further back making it difficult to sustain an attack. Ukrainian pilots should be trained on the F-16 soon eliminating Russian air superiority. The Russians are not making huge gains as you claim. See https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/russian-forces-make-advances-as-ukraine-awaits-fresh-us-weaponry/ar-AA1nJpXQ You think Russians like fighting for Putin? See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zwkIsnTn01E&t=67s 1:38 into video.

[–]weavilsatemyface 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

The US will be supplying Ukraine with more ATACMS. This will force Russia to move their supply depots further back making it difficult to sustain an attack.

Russian air defense is more than capable of shooting down anything and everything Ukraine can fire at them, especially ATACMS. Even the dreaded Stormshadows have gone from a serious threat to a minor threat as the Russians have learned how to destroy them. Not every single missile, but enough to prevent Ukraine from doing major damage.

When those ATACMSes get close enough to the front line to actually threaten Russian forces, they will be destroyed, just like the previous batch of ATACMSes.

Ukrainian pilots should be trained on the F-16 soon eliminating Russian air superiority.

The F-16 is not a bad plane at all, and in the hands of capable pilots with many years of experience, they would almost be peer to the Su-35, but in no way is it superior to the Su-35 in combat. The SU-35 has already proven itself to out-class the F-16 in Taiwan. The SU-35 can blind the radar of F-16s, including the much-vaunted AESA, and force the F-16 pilot to retreat with his tail between his legs. The SU-35 is faster, more manoeuvrable, has a longer range and a much higher ceiling, it carries more weapons including potentially hypersonic missiles that the US cannot match. It can engage the F-16 from much further away than the F-16 can engage them back, and it has a smaller radar cross-section than the F-16.

But those F-16s aren't going to survive long enough to face off against SU-35s. They're going to be chewed to bits by Russian missiles long before that. Why do you think the Russians didn't put their pilots in the sky earlier, before they smashed the Ukrainian air defense? The same applies now, but in reverse.

Those Ukrainian F-16 pilots are dead men walking. Poor fuckers 😞

The Russians are not making huge gains as you claim.

Clausewitz on the purpose of war: "The aim of war should be the defeat of the enemy. But what constitutes defeat? The conquest of his whole territory is not always necessary, and total occupation of his territory may not be enough."

Russia is bleeding Ukraine to death, and demilitarising NATO. And they are doing so with remarkably few losses themselves considering the nature of modern war. They have already taken around one fifth of Ukraine's territory, and will take more when Ukraine is depleted of men and munitions.

You think Russians like fighting for Putin?

Ukraine has to send press squads into the streets to literally kidnap any man who is desperate enough to step outside of his house. They are begging the rest of Europe to deport the Ukrainian men who fled the country back. Meanwhile in Russia the army has so many volunteers that they almost don't know what to do with them. Especially after Ukraine started terrorist attacks against Russian towns and civilians. And that doesn't include the non-military volunteers contributing to the war effort.

[–]Smalls 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

You have given reasoning behind your opinions but I find your last one hard to take seriously.

Meanwhile in Russia the army has so many volunteers that they almost don't know what to do with them.

Then why are they increasing the sign-on bonuses and reaching far out into the Russian-controlled territories (and beyond) to find recruits? My sources say that even in Moscow, men do not want to go to Ukraine because they know they will be thrown into the front lines in the classic Russian meat-grinder scenario. Throw bodies at the enemy until they run out of ammo.

[–]weavilsatemyface 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

why are they increasing the sign-on bonuses and reaching far out into the Russian-controlled territories (and beyond) to find recruits?

Are they actually doing that?

You'll have to ask them, but if I were to guess probably because they are preparing to take Odessa, and they are expecting France and other NATO countries to escalate by sending troops who they will have to fight.

My sources

Oh yes, the well-known sources "Trust me bro", "I made it up", "Plucked from thin air" and "Pulled out of my arse". Very credible sources. They write for all the major western media companies.

the classic Russian meat-grinder scenario

Yes, the Russian army is the grinder, and the poor Ukrainian slobs are the meat.

[–]Smalls 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

As stated in previous comments some time ago, I have an associate who has dual Russian/Armenian citizenship and is somewhat understanding of the reasoning behind the invasion, even if he doesn't fully agree with it. His parents still live in Moscow. I also am a news junkie, sometimes to the detriment of my natural mental optimism. I see many news sources including official, trusted agencies, along with individual assessments. What is your source?