1:29 On Nuland's resignation, Macgregor weighs in on the side of those who think she was pushed out; that her departure signals the readiness of the administration to quietly disengage with Ukraine and pivot to China, notwithstanding Biden's statement about not walking away from Ukraine in his SOTU speech.

We all know we're going to walk away, we have no choice, we don't have the military power to confront the Russians in Ukraine, we never did. Russia is now the supreme military power in Europe.

6:35 On Biden's statement that "there are no American soldiers of war in Ukraine." I think it probably means there are no American soldiers organized into fighting formations currently on the ground in Ukraine.

I think he's right that we're not going to send any fighting formations and contrary to what Macron and others in Europe have said, they're not going to send any either.

We don't have anything to send. We have no developed infrastructure for logistics and sustainment. We have no effective Command and Control structure that can bring together a coalition and employ it effectively against the Russians. The Russians have all those things and they're ready to fight, we aren't.

9:03 On leaked audio of German generals talking about Taurus missiles to Ukraine, and then Macron talking about sending NATO troops to Ukraine, whether Europe is in a state of panic.

I think they are in a state of panic but we're talking about the globalist elites currently governing western Europe. They have followed us unquestioningly and have suddenly realized that we're not going any further and are looking for ways to get out of it. Ukraine is never going to be a member of NATO and no one is going to go to war with the Russians.

A friend of mine in the French army says repeatedly that the only thing the French army is prepared to do is go on safari in North Africa. And the rest of the armies in Europe are boutique forces, designed for everything except a serious war with a professional and competent adversary like the Russians.

The level of professionalism in the German army has fallen off precipitously. I don't know how the conversation between the German generals was acquired but it shouldn't have been acquired at all, this kind of discussion shouldn't have been conducted on a communication system that could easily be hacked and monitored. And if you listen to the discussion, it's amateurish, there's no appreciation for the gravity of the situation. What happens if these Taurus missiles are given to the Ukrainians? Which means put into the hands of probably US, German, British-aligned officers, soldiers and technicians and then launched against targets in Russia acquired by the CIA and provided to the Ukrainians. We risk a serious war because we're now attacking Russian territory, Russian cities, Russian infrastructure, Russian soldiers and civilians.

12:17 Putin has made it clear that if you do these things Berlin could be on the receiving end of similar weapons. It's a very dangerous red line to cross. There's nothing in our inventory that the Russians don't also have, the days when we enjoyed a monopoly on precision strikes are over.

15:40 On whether Russia is afraid of NATO? There's no evidence the Russians fear NATO though they do respect American military capabilities especially with regard to precision strikes and they worry about the possibility we might use a nuclear weapon. They've made clear they won't use a nuke unless we attack them and I think Biden has tried to backtrack and say a similar thing about not using them against the Russians. But I think everyone is on edge about it. My great fear has always been that we'd threaten their use if we're forced into an ignominious withdrawal.

16:48 On the NYT piece about the CIA bases in Ukraine: Obviously the Russians have known about them from the beginning, we're the only ones who didn't know because the government doesn't tell us these things. They knew about the bio labs as well where there were sinister experiments underway trying to find, I'm told, bioweapons that would attack Slavic people in Eastern Europe.

But yes, the fact that this story ran in the NYT is another sign we're getting ready to pull out. It will be quiet, with no announcements, we'll simply leave.

The Europeans know that, it's why they're panicking. They fear their electorate and a giant red wave of nationalist organizations taking over. And I think they will because people are finally standing up and saying we have to be concerned about the future of our own country, we can't permanently harness ourselves to the US which is dangerous.

I remember in the 1970s Chancellor Helmut Schmidt being uncomfortable with things we wanted to do because he thought we were "cowboys". Compared to now, we were remarkably stable and balanced then; now it's amateur hour and I think everyone's figured that out.

19:05

On Israel: The key assumption on the part of Netanyahu is that whatever they do, we'll support them, period, and it's true. He knows he wields more political influence on the Hill and in the WH than Biden does.

I think the larger question is for the people who live in the region, what are those governments going to do. I think that after Ramadan, which ends the 9th or 10th of April, we may see a new coalition of powers willing to do something.

I think we're going to see something we haven't seen in the region for a long time. We've been accustomed to dealing with non-state actors and they'll continue to play a role but I think we'll see state actors getting involved.

Netanyahu will go into Rafah and against Hezbollah, and he wants to do that while he has control of us because he'll need us if he gets into a fight with Hezbollah.

As these things occur, you're going to see a change in the peninsular Arabs, a change among the Turks. And the Iranians, who I think desperately want to stay out of this, will feel compelled to act in some sort of alignment with Hezbollah because they're not going to stand by and watch it be destroyed.

Then you have the problem that Erdogan must deal with: his population is enraged and want to become involved to stop the slaughter, what are they going to do when things fall apart in Egypt and Jordan, which they will. I can't say this for certain but I see these things as coalescing into some sort of arrangement that will be directed at the Israelis.

The question then is what will we do, do we allow ourselves to get dragged into this? You have a lot of people with an itchy trigger finger when it comes to Iran, and many who would be equally aggressive toward the Turks. So I think the possibility of a wider regional war is quite real.

29:37 On whether US troops will be involved in the defense of Israel or its offensive endeavors: If Israel goes after Hezbollah, and I think they will, we'll have strike packages from the Air Force and Navy flying against Hezbollah. What we'll see is a wider war and as people like John Bolton have been hankering after for years, a war with Iran. If that happens, all bets are off, anything is possible then.