Escaping Attrition: Ukraine Rolls the Dice

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[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (6 children)

I saw this in the Situation Report: The World (h/t to u/BerryBoy1969 for pointing me to this excellent news aggregator). And after reading it and some of his earlier posts I subscribed to his substack because there's no such thing as too much analysis.

[–]BerryBoy1969It's not red vs. blue - It's capital vs. you 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (5 children)

If you haven't read it yet, here's today's offering with his assessment of Ukraine's pin prick campaign against Russia.

Obviously Ukraine will be able to inflict damage in Russia with drone attacks, but in the larger scheme of things, nothing they have done thus far is of any real consequence either tactically, or stragetically in shaping the outcome of the SMO.

Andrei Martyanov gives a brief explanation on his blog regarding the challenges Russia faces on the vast expanses of it's border when dealing with rogue operators. Armies are a lot easier to see rolling up on your doorstep than small groups of guerilla's slinking about in the woods.

[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

Hadn't made it to that piece yet but have it marked to read. Martyanov's piece was extremely informative.

Just made it through karlof1's piece about recent interviews with Maria Zakharova and Sergei Lavrov. While I appreciate Lavrov's statesmanship and circumspection, I love Zakharova's no-nonsense calling it as it is. She's the spokesperson for the Ministry of Defense I believe and does a far, far better job than Putin's less-than-stellar spokesman, Peskov.

In addition to these two interviews, he posted this excerpt from a news item (I believe from a Russian outlet):

EU member states intend to buy record volumes of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Russia in 2023, despite the bloc’s intention to phase out the use of Russian fossil fuels by 2027, Vedomosti writes. Russian LNG imports in the first seven months of 2023 increased by 40% from 15 mln to 22 mln cubic meters compared to the same period in 2021.

According to the report, EU countries accounted for fully 52% of Russian LNG exports from January through July 2023, whereas this figure was 49% in 2022 and 39% in 2021... After China, Spain (18% of total Russian sales) and Belgium (17%) became the top importers of Russian LNG.

[–]BerryBoy1969It's not red vs. blue - It's capital vs. you 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

Just made it through karlof1's piece about recent interviews with Maria Zakharova and Sergei Lavrov.

Love them both for what they do. Apropos of nothing, or maybe everything that has to do with the ideological chasm that exists between the West and the rest of the world, here's Maria's take on Cancel Culture. She's a remarkable person.

Imagine our press secretary making such an intelligent presentation.

[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

Agreed, she's much more than a spokesperson.

[–]BerryBoy1969It's not red vs. blue - It's capital vs. you 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Indeed.

[–]penelopepnortneyBecome ungovernable 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Damn, she's good.

Wonder what Wallace's resignation is about. Whether he didn't want to be captain of an obviously sinking ship....