Am I reading this data correct? 18.4% of unvaxed represent 19.3% of hospitalizations? So statistically speaking, the vaccine did nothing to prevent hospitalizations?
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[–]HenryGeorgeOfficial 4 insightful - 2 fun4 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 2 fun - 2 years ago (4 children)
You have to control vaccination rates and hospitalization rates by age. Younger people are less vaccinated and at lower risk of vaccines which gives a positive correlation between vaccination and hospitalization, even though for every age, the risk of COVID hospitalization is lower if you are vaccinated.
We get this (sorry for the bad formatting):
Hospital count Hospital % Vaccine Rate % # cases unvaxed if unvaxed did nothing
< 12 9 10.20% 35% 5.85 12 to 19 0 0% 88% 0 20 to 39 1 1.10% 90% 0.1 40 to 59 7 8.00% 95% 0.35 60 to 79 41 46.60% 100% 0 80 and over 30 34.10% 100% 0
So if the vaccine did nothing we'd expect 6.3 unvaccinated cases in total. Instead there is 17. So there are more unvaccinated people hospitalized than we would statistically expect. The fact that there would be any elderly unvaccinated in the hospital shows how much it matters. <1% of the elderly are unvaccinated there and yet I wouldn't be surprised if they made up some of the elderly hospitalized people.
Data sources:
https://www.princeedwardisland.ca/en/information/health-and-wellness/covid-19-testing-and-case-data
https://health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/vaccination-coverage/ (PEI data)
Age prop_atleast1dose
0–4 0 05–11 70.07 12–17 88.87 18–29 82.31 30–39 98 40–49 94.51 50–59 96.46 60–69 >=99 70–79 >=99 80+ >=99
[–][deleted] 4 insightful - 2 fun4 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 2 fun - 2 years ago (3 children)
Excellent points.
Welcome to Saidit.
[–]HenryGeorgeOfficial 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun - 2 years ago (2 children)
:D
[–][deleted] 5 insightful - 2 fun5 insightful - 1 fun6 insightful - 1 fun6 insightful - 2 fun - 2 years ago (1 child)
Sorry about skank/Ed. I hope you remain at Saidit. Here is one of my many responses to the anti-vax propaganda, which is substantial at Saidit: https://saidit.net/s/WorldNews/comments/8tnt/surfer_kelly_slater_its_sad_to_see_the_celebrated/wosu
[–]HenryGeorgeOfficial 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun - 2 years ago (0 children)
Nice to know I'm not alone!
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[–]HenryGeorgeOfficial 4 insightful - 2 fun4 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 2 fun - (4 children)
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