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[–]AFutureConcern 8 insightful - 1 fun8 insightful - 0 fun9 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

Taleb's whole shtick is claiming that most things are a "pseudoscientific swindle". His background is in trading, and he tends to distrust all predictive models (hence his "Black Swan"). I think it's true that IQ does not tell the whole story when it comes to intelligence and life success. It's very hard to predict things based on IQ alone. But then, it's very hard to predict things about a person based on anything alone.

Taleb's required standard of rigor would immediately discredit the entirety of psychology and the vast majority of social science in general. While I think most of it probably should be discredited, my standard of evidence is not nearly as high as Taleb; furthermore, my "null hypothesis" is NOT assuming that all groups are the same, so the fact that the evidence is less certain doesn't make me any more likely to accept the equalitarian hypothesis.

[–]DisgustResponse 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Taleb's required standard of rigor would immediately discredit the entirety of psychology and the vast majority of social science in general.

He admits as much. Socials sciences are trash.

[–]GConly 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

think it's true that IQ does not tell the whole story when it comes to intelligence and life success. It's very hard to predict things based on IQ alone.

Self control, work ethic, health. Were you an abused child? A whole bunch of things can affect life outcomes other than IQ.

IIRC conscientiousness has an even more significant effect than IQ.