Lots of interesting stuff in this article (as is common with Bhadrakumar; he has a diplomats skill in collecting and boiling down information).

I'm going to focus on this one bit :

An immediate fallout of all this is going to be that India is unlikely to join the US-led alliance in the Red Sea gearing up to wage a war on terror against the Houthis of Yemen. This is despite the US efforts to involve the Quad countries in the Red Sea operations. By the way, both Japan and Australia have dissociated themselves from joining the US-led coalition of the willing.

For those not familiar, the so-called Quad is a massively weird diplomatic network between Australia, India, Japan and the United States. I say weird because if you look at a map of the countries involved, it makes no fucking geopolitical sense. India lies at the top of the Indian Ocean, between West Asia and East Asia. Japan is in East Asia on the West Pacific coastline. The USA has a coastline on the East Pacific. And Australia lies in another hemisphere with Indian Ocean and West Pacific coastlines.

After the Quad was formed (and dissolved and then reformed because a more sensible Australian PM pulled out and then got stabbed in the back) we started seeing the adoption of the weird sounding term Indo-Pacific. I had never heard this term before the last decade or so and I believe it was no accident that we started hearing it then. I believe it was dream up to artificially justify the Quad as a 'natural defender of security' in this so-called area. But the idea of a region called 'the Indo-Pacific' makes no fucking sense. The Pacific is the world's ocean. It is massive and dwarfs all other oceans. It doesn't even make sense to treat it as a single entity. Rather one should more naturally talk of the Western Pacific (Asia, SE Asia and Australia/NZ) and the Eastern Pacific (the coastline of the Americas). Between these two littoral regions lies (again, to repeat myself) the world's largest ocean. And then to tack on the Indian Ocean as well is just moronic.

So yeah, you have one nation in the Indian Ocean, up near where all the action is. One nation down in the Southern Hemisphere, far away from all the action both in the Indian Ocean and the Western Pacific, one nation (Japan) in the northern Western Pacific where yes, all the action is, and one nation over in the Eastern Pacific, where it should stay and mind its own business (but of course, we know it doesn't).

The only reason these nations were cobbled together is that, outside Europe, these are the only medium powers that the USA had any hope of cobbling together in a marine alliance. But it never made any sense, for reasons I have outlined above. So I'm not surprised to see it falling apart under any real pressure. The 'Indo-Pacific' is a nonsense and 'the Quad' is doomed to failure.