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Using the data from the options markets to discover underlying interest rates, risk premiums, statistics, and psychological peculiarities of various market participants.
Link to a nice summary descriptor of bill durations at issuance:
[ if a better summary, send a DM / IM ]
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/033115/what-are-differences-between-treasury-bond-and-treasury-note-and-treasury-bill-tbill.asp
Am disinclined to do a multi factor analysis However, definitely seeing a pull out from Peking and Shanghai and Hong Kong today
submitted 3 months ago by Cancelthis from self.Options
Drops in 10 year.
Might even be seeing some drop in 5 year.
All concurrent with bets on the dollar being tapered off.
But their may still be some dollar advances.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - 3 months ago (0 children)
Pull backs in bets on 20 year and 30 year may be showing up.
It looks like it might be a very slow pull back.
Analysis looks, for now, as if any real expectations of 10 year and 5 year instability are pre scheduled.
[–]Cancelthis[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun - (0 children)