A large X1.0-class solar flare was just emitted by the sun aimed directly toward earth 5 hours ago. The Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) particles are aimed directly at Earth and will arrive over the next few days, so we may see auroras in the skies

submitted by magnora7 from solarham.net

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[–][deleted] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

It was initially scheduled to arrive at midnight (UTC? GMT? Maybe some other time zone?) which in the case of UTC/GMT would be one hour ago. I'm trying to find out when exactly it's expected to hit. But certainly watching for auroras tonight would be awesome. I'm not nearly far enough North for that, I think. Unless the magnetic field is much weaker than previously thought...

[–]magnora7[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Looks like it showed up about 12:00 UTC: https://www.solarham.net/kp.htm

It was much weaker than expected

[–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

KP5? Interesting. Yes, I would have thought this might be stronger than that. Maybe our magnetic field isn't as weakened as I thought, which might mean the Carrington event might be for the next sunspot cycle... Sigh.