Why is no one talking about the fact that we have seen a steady decline in overall covid deaths for 6 weeks now?

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[–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

down in the early hot spot states but on the rise in some states that weren't hit as bad at first

[–]Themagicalmidget[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

Because in the more rural areas there was not really any wave to begin with. The US is large thus it's only natural that other states that were less exposed for a veriety of reasons are lagging behind. So what we have is a small second wave in already effected states and a less pronounced first wave in the untouched areas. I expent everything to stabilize in about two months at this rate and for there to be around 200-250k deaths in total by years end. Or about one 1200th of our population. Statisticly speaking we will have a desth rate equal to around that of driving a car in Thailand for one year (60~ per 100k). Is that still dangerous? Yes. Would I be shitting my pants now? No.

[–][deleted] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

not really in rural spots yet either and that makes sense, less people, but it is increasing in cities in florida, texas, arizona etc

[–]Themagicalmidget[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Fare enough, but those spots were really not hit hard to begin with. They in effect never had a first wave. That is why I'm predicting around 200-250k deaths by the end of the year after it runs through all the metro areas of the fly over states and states less prone to travel incursions.