What if the lockdown was a big mistake?

submitted by Unicorn from dailybreeze.com

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[–]MostlySunnySkies 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

No one had any idea what the equivalent numbers for this cornoa virus were when we went into lockdown. That's the reason we went into lockdown. That was the entire point of my posts and the reason all nations went into lockdown.

We.

Didn't.

Know.

You keep saying the same thing as if my posts hadn't already said this a million times.

I am not going to repeat the same things in every post. I am going to call you out because what you're saying is dangerous and wrong and at this point, it's willfully wrong.

[–]fred_red_beans 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

The CDC and the WHO did know that when estimating a mortality rate for a virus that asymptomatic and non-reported cases should be taken into account as is done with influenza.

Why was a 4% mortality rate cited when it was known that the mortality rate would likely be orders of magnitude lower when asympomatic and non-reported cases were taken into account? Perhaps the collapse of the economy had something to do with it?

You are citing numbers that have no relation to reality. Your argument makes no sense.

[–]MostlySunnySkies 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

The CDC and the WHO did know that when estimating a mortality rate for a virus that asymptomatic and non-reported cases should be taken into account as is done with influenza

That's not in dispute, so please stop citing it as evidence of anything.

The point is it was not known what numeric value the mortality rate was. None of the data coming out of China was good and the numbers from Italy looked very bad indeed for known cases.

In the absence of reliable data, it could be anything. That's a fact about viruses. This is an ongoing concern by medical experts- a novel virus with a high mortality rate.

You can argue that the world over reacted. You can't compose an argument that the CDC knew what the mortality was or was likely to be.

The numbers I cite are the confirmed cases- the numbers we know are true. We also know the real mortality rate is likely less, but no one knows how much less. It also could have been worse, with people dying of an unidentified effect of the virus such as heart attacks- which has been observed in yong people - which was not however ascriobed to the virus.

So it was possible the real mortality rate could have been higher.

We still don't know.