Estimate of areas of Ukraine captured by Russia since fighting began this morning

submitted by magnora7 from i.imgur.com

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[–]magnora7[S] 3 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 0 fun4 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

There was shelling in Odessa and 18 civilians died. And Melitopol is not looking good, there is a lot of military activity there right now. Russia has a much stronger navy than Ukraine so anything near the sea is probably going to be taken. If Russia can take the river in the middle, and get the Russian navy warships up the river to Kiev, then they can split Ukraine in half with a navy blockade. Hopefully they're blocked from doing this with a blockade partway up the river.

But if they do pull that off, then they'd just wait it out, or take the east half. Since Ukraine is not in NATO, they're relying on some other G7 nations to donate their armies basically. But Ukraine does have a sizable defense on its own, but it's about 1/3 the size overall of the Russian army. And only the eastern-most 1/4 of Ukraine wants to be in Russia, and western Ukraine definitely does not want to belong to Russia, basically.

[–]magnora7[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

This really shows how fast-moving and multi-pronged this operation is. They really planned this thing out, even the stuff coming in from the top from Belarus, which is a strong ally to Russia.

The dark-red region in the lower-right that contains Donezk, is the Donbas region. Which they've drawn separately from the rest because it already succeeded and declared independence, and Russia recognized that independence on Monday. A battle has been ranging in this area over the last 8 years, between the pro-Russia separatists and the pro-Ukraine nationalists, killing 5k troops from each side.

[–]FlippyKing 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

The link below is from a post here on SaidIt. I don't know the source for it, nor what's going on in Ukraine. If I believed the media I'd be on my second booster already, assuming I survived the first and not twitching in a corner.

https://imgur.com/a/Er8EvQX

[–]magnora7[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

I saw this too, but honestly I find it extremely unlikely the US would build several biolabs just miles from the Russian border, and one near Crimea. Those aren't smart places to build research labs. I think it's fake tbh. But I could believe it if more info came to light, I'm not discounting it entirely

[–]FlippyKing 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

The only rationale I can come up with off the top of my head at the moment would be to provoke, or to create something that can quickly be gotten to the Russian boarder. If we think of "labs" as biological/chemical warfare sites the way a missile silo is to conventional or nuclear warfare, then along a border is a good place, both for offensive potential (I'm not picturing missile as defense, and biological/chemical weapons certainly not as defense) and as provocation.

[–]magnora7[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Provocation would be putting military stuff near the border. But perhaps.

Only rationale I could come up with, is an intentional plan to create biologic agents that are then leaked or stolen by russian attack.

Even if they were biolabs, is blowing them up a good idea? Seems like a very haphazard way to do things that could release deadly viruses.

There's just quite a few pieces in that little biolab story that don't make sense to me, so it just doesn't seem real, given that one image and no additional information to look up. No names of labs, no names of companies, nothing. Just some random dots someone made in photoshop... so I'm inclined to not believe it, it seems like a distraction from what's actually happening, all things considered. Just my 2 cents. But if there is more info, I'd definitely re-think the theory.

[–]FlippyKing 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Blowing them up might be a good idea, better then letting them send an intern over the boarder to release something. Are they blowing them up though? Apparently Russia is doing this so that Ukraine doesn't descend into such a puppet of the west status that it is just a military staging and logistics area for the "west" which I interpret as Russia being mindful that the western-owned oil and gas industry would love to invade and take over central Asia's gas deposits.

This could make Ukraine a nothern version of Iraq/Syria/Lebanon which is so tragic I'm going to pray to the Holy Mother of God to spare the people there from being victims of geopoliltical nonsense. If that seems like a waste of time, compare it to sending a carefully worded letter or email to my senators or Biden.