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[–]TheJamesRocket 2 insightful - 3 fun2 insightful - 2 fun3 insightful - 3 fun -  (2 children)

Who wants to bet their new prime minister will try to increase immigration?

[–]LGBTQIAIDSAnally Injected Death Sentence 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

I think they will open up in the next ten years, though some people are claiming that both China and Japan have seen increases in nativism consequent of Covid being attributed to outsiders (a particularly strange argument for China, given that outside of China many think that they are responsible, but the CCP seem to be blaming America and Britain).

I doubt that Japan is anywhere near 99.9% Japanese (probably not even 99.% Asian) at this point. Even if PM Kishida makes no moves towards widespread multiracial immigration, I still doubt that 1) the LDP remain in power over the next ten years and 2) Pro-immigration factions within the LDP do not select the party's next Prime Ministerial candidate over the next ten years. Only one of those two things needs to happen for Japan to open up, since most opposition parties are more pro-immigration than the LDP.

I suspect that the general incongruence between the political classes and the public on immigration (where I am, studies undertaken in the 1990s showed that the average person was significantly Rightward of both the mainstream Left and Right parties on immigration), an incongruence which could possibly be replicated in non-white societies, will mean that this brief increase in nativism will at best delay this opening up. Furthermore, the state of the Far-Right in Japan is very poor: Japan First is little better off than Western Far-Right parties and any other parties are probably worse off still, which puts them in a similar position to Europeans worldwide.

Kishida doesn't have a particularly high approval rating. Furthermore, the 'grace period' or 'honeymoon period' frequently observed in Western states is also replicated in Japan as well: polls show that Abe and Suga tended to have higher levels of approval than disapproval at the beginnings of their Prime Ministerships, whereas this situation had practically reversed by the end of them. Despite Kishida still being in his 'grace period', the Kishida Cabinet's approval rating was reported as being at a lowly 29.2% in December. The only upside for Kishida is that his chief opponent, CDP leader Kenta Izumi, is even less popular.

If Izumi was to hypothetically come to power next election, then Japan would likely see:

  • Fag marriage legalized.

  • More openness to foreign workers.

Strangely, even some Japanese sources refer to Izumi as a 'conservative', which demonstrates that at least some Japanese sources are as biased as Western ones, in that they see everything as further Rightward of where it actually is. Another sign that 'progressivism' has become deeply entrenched. In fact, the previous CDP leader, Yukio Edano, calls himself a 'conservative' despite also being in favour of fag marriage and multiracialism, wanting 'immigration reform'.

The only question is who it will be who further liberalizes Japan: will it be the LDP or will it be some other group, most likely the CDP?

[–]ifuckredditsnitches_Resident Pajeet 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

I still doubt that 1) the LDP remain in power over the next ten years

Hasn't the LDP been in power for nearly the entirety of the post-war era except for one term? It seems like almost a pseudo single party state along the lines of Singapore, or Taiwan/SK before the 2000s