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[–]radicalcentristNational Centrism 1 insightful - 2 fun1 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 2 fun -  (3 children)

I know they have a peace treaty, but isn't it bizarre the other Arab countries (i.e Egypt/Jordan/Syria) have never thought of invading Israel when there's civil unrest? All their wars have been when Israel was united at full strength.

It's similar to last year when the George Floyd riots were kicking off in the U.S, yet Russia & China didn't feel like moving the needle, even once.

[–]casparvoneverecBig tiddy respecter 7 insightful - 1 fun7 insightful - 0 fun8 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

The US would intervene to assist Israel. Jordan is weak and Syria is half dead from 10 years of civil war. Egypt is strong but it gets money from the US to stay quiet and its not really interested in the middle east anymore. Their ambitions are in North Africa and the mediterranean

[–]radicalcentristNational Centrism 1 insightful - 2 fun1 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 2 fun -  (1 child)

The US would intervene to assist Israel.

Would they be able to do it fast enough?

I'm thinking of the Six Day War but in reverse. The Arabs quickly move in and capture Jerusalem before the first U.S Aircraft Carrier arrives. They would have two bartering chips to prevent all out war:

  1. The Temple Mount
  2. The Suez Canal

[–]casparvoneverecBig tiddy respecter 4 insightful - 1 fun4 insightful - 0 fun5 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

The arabs are simply too incompetent and weak to do anything like that. The Israeli army has one thousand tanks and numbers as high as 130,000 men. They probably have about 12 active combat brigades in the field. Due to the small size and high density of the population, they can most likely mobilize all their reserves and raise the number of combat brigades to 30 within a week. The Israeli air force is the strongest in the middle east with 217 4+ and 4++ gen US made jets and 23 F-35s.

If anything Israel can take half of Jordan and Syria in a blitzkrieg if they had the stomach to take thousands of casualties.

As for the US, there are US carrier srike groups in the mediterranean and Indian ocean who could rush there within a few days. Plus the US has a large air component in Saudi Arabia which can easily strike Jordan. There's also a large air component in Cyprus from where the US and UK could assist with strikes and combat air patrol.