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[–][deleted] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

You're right but frankly I think they will do it even if it is blindly obvious they don't succeed. America is an incredibly desperate place geopolitically, Europe is drifting away from it, it's basically lost or losing all proxy conflicts it's been engaged in since Bush and its clout in Asia is declining. It's soft power strategy is clearly failing and like you said the world's situation has long since evolved, Russia openly exerts its power by putting a few hundred of its forces wherever and China is buying its way into influence over foreign governments, and the only way I see it can put its money on the table anymore will be using its military.

I personally do think the Iran War is going to happen under Biden, Israel has already made all its own geopolitical preparations and has been in bed with Russia and the EU for a while now as its new replacement guardians so they have nothing to lose from forcing America's hand over Iran into a losing situation. Jewish pressure and urgency in the hawks is going to lead to disaster. Maybe I'm wrong though.

[–]TheJamesRocket 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Israel has wanted to deal with Iran for a long time. This might be their last chance to declare war on them, with America as a co-belligerent. Biden is a Zionist stooge just like Trump, but unlike him, he is also a war monger. At the rate things are going, Americas time as a great power is limited. It would not be surprising if Israel has a 'now or never' mindset about their war plans for Iran.

Of course, a major war in the Middle East could have major ramifications for all partys. If there are disruptions to the oil supply, then this would destroy the Petrodollar. If that happens, then a U.S. currency collapse is inevitable.