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[–]astronautrob 4 insightful - 2 fun4 insightful - 1 fun5 insightful - 2 fun -  (6 children)

Feel the same. Can someone please correct me if I'm wrong but last time I checked a couple days ago there has been roughly 160000 confirmed cases 75000 recovered and roughly 5000 have died. Am I wrong with these numbers? This seems like a very small amount on top of most of these people dieing are 70+ right? I'm not trying to be dismissive I'm genuinely interested in what people find scary about this virus. Didn't 2009 swine flu infect something like 60mil in US alone, killing some 13000 or something? Again if these numbers are wrong please please someone correct me. Feel crazy trying to figure out what everyone is so terrified about. It does seem unreal what's happening and even more unreal how people are just accepting it...

[–]yetanotherone_sigh 2 insightful - 2 fun2 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 2 fun -  (5 children)

It's not so much the total number dead... it's how catchy this bug is. One person can infect between 3 and 6 other people. That's WAY higher than the flu. And the death rate is also way higher. So it is expected to be around 30X as bad as the flu (in terms of total numbers dead) at a best-case scenario.

The growth rate is truly terrifying. Humans are bad at understanding parabolic growth. Check this site out: https://covid19info.live/us/ Hit the drop down menu where it says "Global" and change to -> Americas -> US. It's not how many people have it. It's how fast it is growing. It will overwhelm the US medical system in a matter of weeks. There are not enough ICUs or respirators in the USA (we need 30 times more than we have).

[–]astronautrob 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

hat's conjecture though not reality. Why would this soon change though? That's just a guess it doesn't mean it will become reality. Look at numbers in South Korea their infection rate has been going down and they aren't even doing a full lockdown. https://amp.scmp.com/week-asia/health-environment/article/3074469/coronavirus-south-korea-cuts-infection-rate-without How do you account for that? Saying it's going to get worse or better is conjecture, and saying it's going to get 30x worse is just hysteria. Some countries infection rates are dropping while the mortality rate is staying constant. Again consider the mortality rate with a grain of salt it's most 70+ people with underlying health conditions. So again I ask how do you know it will get worse? I'll answer that, you don't.

You're also not addresses the fact that 2009 swine flu had more infections at a fast rate and killed more people. Have you look at the numbers yourself? Making up hypothetical situations where the mortality rate somehow jumps from 1% to 30x that is hysteria and I'm sure it's something you saw on the TV from one of the experts. Bro again, turn off the TV

[–]yetanotherone_sigh 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

Checking in on your comment two months later. The US now is closing in on 100,000 dead and over 1.5m confirmed cases.

[–]astronautrob 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

We know the numbers are inflated so check back in when the backpedaling stops and we get real data. Turn off the TV my friend.

[–]yetanotherone_sigh 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Well I had coronavirus and I have permanent lung damage now. Infected by an idiot coworker that came to work sick early on. So why don't you turn off Fox News and look at the data.

[–]astronautrob 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Anecdotal evidence much? I'm sorry you got sick but the fact is that story doesn't make the data any more legitimate or illegitimate, its just a story from a random person on the internet. My experience has been much different. I know of a lot more people who have been effected by the lockdown, getting later off, losing business, etc., and on the flip side don't know of one person who got COVID or was effected by it. Both of these things are called anecdotal evidence my friend. It proves nothing. You think Fox news is any different from MSNBC abc etc? If you do you're not very intelligent. I don't watch TV so I don't get my news from mainstream media. Maybe you should turn off the TV in general and stop thinking that anyone who has a different opinion than you watched a different channel on that stupid box. It's not about left or right my friend wake up and see the light. Stop playing their game.