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[–]magnora7[S] 4 insightful - 1 fun4 insightful - 0 fun5 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

If you put the graphs on the page in 'logarithmic' mode you can see them flattening off. If this was truly exponential growth, they'd be a straight line in a logarithmic graph. So the fact they're flattening off is a good indicator.

The disparity between the number of deaths in China and the rest of the world is quite drastic. Especially considering it happened during Lunar New Year and all the travel associated with that.

[–]JasonCarswell 2 insightful - 2 fun2 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 2 fun -  (3 children)

Is a Lunar New Year a big deal in China - or anywhere? I didn't know that was a big thing.

This says a bit, but not much: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lunar_New_Year

[–]Tom_Bombadil 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

It's the biggest travel event on the planet. 3 billion estimated trips.

Not this years, of course.

[–]JasonCarswell 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Interesting. I wonder why I hadn't caught that before.

Thanks for filling me in. I suspect M7 is still ignoring me.

[–]HeyImSancho 2 insightful - 2 fun2 insightful - 1 fun3 insightful - 2 fun -  (0 children)

The virus 'appeared' right before the Lunar New Year extended vacation; almost as though it was planned for peak spread globally. And yes, 5 million did leave Wuhan, and a lot of other cities left as well. China's population is still somewhat agrarian, and go back to their villages during this time. Right now, we're about 2 and a half, or so weeks past when they go back to work, but now even Beijing, and Shanghai along with all the rest are under varying degrees of quarantine.

There are videos circulating, or were, where by people throughout China were beating anyone who had a Wuhan accent; out of fear of them being infectious.