Russia is sure to lose in Ukraine, reckons a Chinese expert on Russia

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-12T18:49:18+00:00

Chinese ship’s crew deliberately dragged its anchor to cut undersea data cables - Russian intelligence is suspected to be behind the operation

European investigators believe a Chinese-owned commercial ship deliberately dragged its anchor to sabotage the two undersea telecommunications cables cut in the Baltic Sea earlier this month. However, Western law enforcement and intelligence officials told The Wall Street Journal that they don’t believe the Chinese government was involved. Instead, the probe is focused on whether Russian intelligence persuaded the vessel’s captain to carry out the operation. See also:

Russia Issues Ominous Warning About Undersea Internet Cables Russian ships have been found “loitering” around Ireland and Iceland. The areas they’re loitering are coincidentally where transatlantic cables are.

ZephirAWT · 2024-04-23T17:44:09+00:00

Russia is sure to lose in Ukraine, reckons a Chinese expert on Russia Similarly to USA during WWW II, China is now motivated to support weaker part of conflict just for profit, until war is going. But defeat of Russia would also open Siberia for China, which isn't in USA interests. The memo is simple: agressor will newer win the big war: no matter whether Hitler, Napoleon or Putin. And aggessor is this one who crosses boundary first. Not to say against three times smaller nation. This isn't even fight but a plain bullying. And bulliers are in deep psychological dissadvantage: they can never feel fully right about their intentions.

China's "No Limits" Friendship with Russia is Beginning to Crumble
Putin’s nuclear arsenal is crumbling. Ukraine can take it out for good
Russia is Running Out of EVERYTHING (Planes, Ships, Soldiers, Tanks)...
Donald Trump says Ukraine's survival is important to US What Ronald Reagan - the icon of MAGA movement - would do in his place? He didn't hesitate to spend trillion USD in dettering of Russia.
In Taking Crimea, Putin Gains a Sea of Fuel Reserves And not just Crimea. The Russian invasion is merely a classical war for fossil fuel reserves poorly masked as a war againsts "Ukraininan nazism", i.e. independence movement.

ZephirAWT · 2024-04-28T04:08:41+00:00

The Russians Are Rushing Reinforcements Into Their Ocheretyne Breakthrough. A Ukrainian retreat would be risky.

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-09T01:32:11+00:00

Putin is ready to launch invasion of Nato nations to test West, warns Polish spy boss He's about to lose, so that everything which could mask it is worth the effort..

Don't forget, he's not politician but a mafioso running his country. Putin often calls western "democracies" as "decadent" and they actually are, the Ukrainian conflict illustrates it clearly.

European leaders were unprepared to defend Ukraine which led to Russia's attack, says Donald Tusk

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-09T05:05:26+00:00

Opinion: Russia can lose this war It's in their mentality. Slaves are good defenders but a poor agressors. And the motivation is on the side of Ukrainians.

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-09T08:37:29+00:00

The Russian Army may have defeated Ukraine — if it had followed its own manual. As one Ukrainian solidier said...

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-17T21:49:49+00:00

Patrushev at a closed meeting of the Russian Security Council reveals the true Russian motivations for "denazification" of Ukraine.

If we don't conquer Ukraine now... We're losing everything! We will not receive shale gas deposits in the Kharkiv and Donetsk regions. We will not get such" critical raw materials " as lithium, cobalt, scandium, graphite, tantalum, niobium and others... which Ukraine is rich in. We will not get a source of bread and food... where there are huge reserves, surplus bread, but it is difficult to take them immediately, there is still Bandera... We must move at least three million companies from northern hungry Russia to Ukraine.

He forget to mention wast oil fields around Crimea and shale gas reserves in Luhansk. Russia apparently wants West to think, that lost of Donetsk and Crimea regions is palatable for the West, because strategical raw-source reserves are somewhere else.. See also:

US says sending military “trainers” to Ukraine is “inevitable”

Lavrov calls Putin Xi's 'donkey' during China visit, reveals Russia's dependence. Defeating of Russia the is the key for defeating the China for USA.

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-17T21:51:26+00:00

Zelensky: No reports of artillery shortages for first time in full-scale war

Putin immediately went peacefull: Russia has 'no plans to capture Kharkiv as of today'

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-22T08:47:21+00:00

Russia has decided to unilaterally move the border with Lithuania and Finland in the Baltic Sea

According to the document prepared by the Ministry of Defense, Russia intends to declare part of the water area in the east of the Gulf of Finland, as well as near the cities of Baltiysk and Zelenograds

ZephirAWT · 2024-05-30T10:53:10+00:00

Germany increases contested gas surcharge Austria, supported by countries like Poland, Hungary and Czechia, says the surcharge obstructs their move away from Russian gas as non-Russian gas imported through Western European LNG terminals becomes more costly due to the added German transit fee.

In the summer of 2022, when Russia stopped supplying gas to Germany, the government authorised large-scale purchases to ensure storage facilities were well-filled before winter. When gas prices dropped, market operator Trading Hub Europe (THE) levied a surcharge on gas flows to recoup the cost. As of July, the charge will be increased by another 34% to €2.50 per MWh, THE announced on Tuesday. The announcement comes amid a prolonged three-way stand-off between Vienna, Berlin and Brussels.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-02T12:20:00+00:00

Leaked Russian military files reveal criteria for nuclear strike

The classified papers, seen by the Financial Times, describe a threshold for using tactical nuclear weapons that is lower than Russia has ever publicly admitted, according to experts who reviewed and verified the documents.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-07T14:57:07+00:00

Leaked Russian Documents Reveal Deep Concern Over Chinese Aggression

Financial Times reveal how Russia might use nuclear weapons to roll back Chinese aggression. Their story, built off of leaked secret documents, confirms Russia’s deep and longstanding concern that a revitalized China might try to annex Russia’s eastern territories.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-11T05:51:29+00:00

Ukraine is sitting on 10 to $12 trillion of critical minerals says senator Graham. They could be the richest country in all of Europe. I don't want to give that money and those assets to Putin to share with China.

Russian air defense troops ordered to evacuate from Crimea with families, guerrillas report

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-14T19:10:38+00:00

Serbischer Präsident Vucic: Wir werden in 3–4 Monaten einen ausgeweiteten Krieg haben

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-22T21:54:02+00:00

Almost 200 Russian ships suspected of spying in the North Sea

Russian ships are trying to gather intelligence on the location of essential cables and pipelines at the seabed of the North Sea in order to potentially sabotage or disrupt them. Russia uses fishing boats, cargo ships, oil tankers, research vessels and pleasure yachts to do so. Follow the Money and Belgian newspaper De Tijd have mapped all possible espionage, sabotage and other suspicious activities of Russian ships in the North Sea since 2014. There were 1,012 Russian-flagged ships active in the North Sea over the past decade; almost 60,000 times they hung around seemingly aimlessly; 950 times within 1 kilometre of cables or pipelines. 167 civilian Russian vessels were involved. European countries have few options to intervene even if suspicions of espionage are confirmed.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-23T06:39:08+00:00

Soldiers in Ukraine say US-supplied tanks have made them targets for Russian strikes

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-28T20:34:30+00:00

The Russians May Have Lost An Entire Airborne Brigade In Vovchansk Russia’s Victory Day offensive is turning into a bloodbath ... for Russian troops.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-29T01:17:50+00:00

Why All Russians Are Responsible for Putin's War, Putin's Info War on the West: what you must know.

ZephirAWT · 2024-06-30T16:02:14+00:00

Ukraine handed over all their nuclear weapons to Russia between 1994 and 1996, as the result of the Budapest Convention, in exchange for a guarantee never to be threatened or invaded. The US and UK lied to Ukraine, too, because they all vowed to protect their territorial integrity. They let them take Crimea in 2014 and didn’t do a shit.

Some people are now wondering why Ukraine is rather reticent about possible ceasefire and peace talks with Russia. Even if the Russian proposals were not fundamentally poisonous, it would be a 100:1 bet that the agreement would be broken before the ink is dry. Russia will use a ceasefire only to resupply, restock their troops and then attack again.

Ukraine had this experience. A Minsk ceasefire in 2015 ended with unarmed Ukrainian soldiers getting massacred by Russian troops while trying to leave the area. They killed them all on the side of the road.

Ceasefire is only a strategic proposal to deceive their opponent: Russia will only stop when they simply can't fight anymore. Putin only understands one language: force.

ZephirAWT · 2024-07-20T01:16:30+00:00

Years of miscalculations by U.S., NATO led to dire shell shortage in Ukraine

ZephirAWT · 2024-07-28T07:15:29+00:00

Putin has made countless threats of escalation during the Russia-Ukraine War, yet nothing happens.

Even when Ukraine has begun to strike deeper into Russian territory or utilise NATO weapons more audaciously, Ryan McBeth argues that we still shouldn't fear the Kremlins tough talk.

If the American policy is to provide safe havens for aggressors with nuclear weapons -- not protect the territorial integrity of its partners and allies, not uphold and safeguard international law -- where does that leave NATO members that border Russia? The current strategy makes nuclear non-proliferation, such as Ukraine giving up their stockpile, look like a shortsighted mistake.

ZephirAWT · 2024-07-29T10:58:03+00:00

Li Jianwei is a former PLA soldier and a Chinese mercenary hired by Russia. He talks about his experiences in the Russia-Ukraine war on Chinese social media. In this video, he described the high causality of the Ukraine war and gave first-hand account of the Russian military operations and challenges. He called Putin's war in Ukraine "unwinnable" at the end.

Also in a video on Telegram, Russian propagandist Kalashnikov admits that Russia "can't win the war"

Why Russia will Lose the War Originally intended to be a quick victory with Russia raising its flag in Kyiv, the war has turned into a grueling struggle. Ukraine's fierce resistance, backed by Western military aid, has bogged Russia down, challenging its military capabilities and geopolitical standing. Even if Russia succeeds, it risks losing in other areas, including economically and politically. Dive deep into the complex factors at play as we explore how this conflict impacts Russia's future on multiple fronts.

On May 24, 2024, Lei’s Real Talk released a compelling video directly from the Ukraine war frontlines. It’s a personal account from Li Jianwei, a former People's Liberation Army soldier turned mercenary for Russia, sharing the brutal reality of war

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-06T12:18:55+00:00

Ukraine Had A Chance To Blow Up Russia’s Best Warplanes On The Tarmac. The White House Said No—And Now It’s Too Late. Ukraine is still hitting Russian airfields, but only with less destructive drones.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-09T22:53:22+00:00

Why Russia Won’t Use Nuclear Weapons Against Ukraine Unfortunately this article is merely about why Russia shouldn't use nuclear weapons there, but totalitarian dictatorships don't always use the western democracy logic.

Russian propaganda begins a campaign to justify the use of nuclear weapons
Nuclear war would cause global famine with more than five billion people killed, new study finds
Biden warns risk of nuclear 'Armageddon' is highest since Cuban Missile Crisis
Ukraine’s Little Round Top Defeat of Putin This Russian army isn't their father’s Soviet Army. They are their great-great grandfather’s meatgrinder of an army that fled the battlefields of WWI – led by an equally one-dimensional general.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-09T23:14:08+00:00

Kamala Harris's answer for inflation

Frankly, I don't envy the American voters: Given their election system, they're now predestined to elect Trump or Harris, nobody else. But the things don't happen without cause and Americans are no at least partly responsible for their present situation with democracy. In similar way, like Russians who now have war casualties just because of their ignorance, if not open support of Putin regime.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-10T06:59:19+00:00

Ukraine Had A Chance To Blow Up Russia’s Best Warplanes On The Tarmac. The White House Said No—And Now It’s Too Late.

Such a mistakes pay with lives of many Ukrainians. Now Kiev has partially undone it with its drone attack at Kursk airfield.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-11T21:53:27+00:00

The True death toll of the Ukraine War

Before Russia invaded, Ukraine had about 300,000 personnel between its regular armed forces and paramilitary troops. The war has swelled Ukraine’s forces to about 2.2 million today, with an active duty force of 900,000. The rest are reserves and paramilitary forces and not all of them are deployed at once. Russia, meanwhile, began the invasion with 190,000 troops, but this was obviously not enough. By May 2023, after the partial mobilizations began, the number went up to 300,000, according to EU sources. By September, Russian forces in Ukraine had increased to 420,000, according to sources in Ukrainian intelligence.

By February 2023, PNAS’ estimate for Russian casualties was roughly 150,000 injuries and almost 70,000 fatalities. In August 2023, after the Russians had captured Bakhmut at an enormous cost American intelligence sources estimated that Russia had suffered 120,000 fatalities during the course of the war, with an additional 170,000 to 180,000 injured. By March 2024, the British Ministry of Defence claimed that Russia had suffered 355,000 total casualties in the two years’ war, amounting to about 983 per day. British officials predicted that Russia would suffer over 500,000 total casualties by the end of 2024. By August 2023, as the campaign in Zaporizhzhia raged, American sources estimated that Ukraine’s casualties ballooned to a number between 100,000 and 120,000 injuries and 70,000 dead. By December 2023, at least 20,000 of Ukraine’s wounded had required amputations, and, according to a Russian source over half of all the wounded Russian soldiers required amputation.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-14T12:31:56+00:00

Does Russia need any new territories? A population with thieve mentality - even the young are subservient.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-14T19:47:17+00:00

You can actually see the front line of Russia-Ukraine war from space

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-16T17:51:13+00:00

A Drunken Evening, a Rented Yacht: The Real Story of the Nord Stream Pipeline Sabotage Private businessmen funded the shoestring operation, which was overseen by a top general; President Zelensky approved the plan, then tried unsuccessfully to call it off. According to Wall Street Journal sources, Zelensky did give the order, but the then Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Army, Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, disobeyed it.

Is it why Zaluzhnyi was replaced by Sirskiy in the middle of war? It could be still a Russian disinfo.

In May 2023, the BBC published information that a Russian ship Nymfen (SS-750), designed for submarine rescue operations, had been in the critical area for several days before the explosion and had been photographed by a Danish patrol boat. The SS-750 was sailing from Kaliningrad and was in the vicinity of Bornholm Island on 22 September 2022. Between June and September 2022, the Russian research vessel Sibiryakov, the tug SB-123 and another unidentified Russian military vessel were also in the area. The first ship spent hours over the site of the later explosion on 7 June 2022, where the pipeline lies at a depth of 80 metres. The Sibiryakov arrived at the same location on 14 June and remained until the next day. The tug stayed in the same area from 21 September until the second day, which is also confirmed by satellite imagery. Sibiryakov is believed to be capable of underwater and seabed operations, has an underwater robot and is designed for submarine rescue operations.

President Biden: "For example, if Russia crosses the border with Ukraine with tanks and troops, Nord Stream 2 will no longer exist". Follow-up question: "But how exactly do you do that? The project is under German control". President Biden: "I promise you: we will do it."

So that at the end we just know another version of the same story. See also:

Sudzha is a gas hub On this episode of Break the Fake, a Russian state propagandist admits, that Russia may actually lose the war with Ukraine The main problem of Ukrainians by now are Russian glide bombs. They're imprecise, but on dense frozen front they're still terribly effective. If so, why not to make front more sparse and volatile and most of all to leave these bombs to destroy Russia's own infrastructure? The August 2024 Kursk incursion is not so desperate move as it may look at the first sight.

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-22T09:12:52+00:00

Jason Smart, in Ukraine, conducted this interview with General Ben Hodges, in Germany, on August 21, 2024.

General Ben Hodges, who commanded the US Army in Europe from 2014 until 2017, says that Western policymakers need to open their eyes to a hard truth: Russia is only emboldened by the empty phrases we use to describe support for Ukraine, as we are unwilling to say that "we will do all that we can for Ukraine to win." Looking ahead, the General suggests that the West does not give Ukraine nearly enough credit for its many successes and ingenuity, something that prevents many Westerners from realizing how well Ukraine is really doing.

During this interview, General Hodges references an initiative of the Renewal Democracy Initiative (RDI), on which he sits on the Board, which is chaired by Garry Kasparov, that is calling on Chancellor Sholz of Germany to send weapons to Ukraine: https://rdi.org/articles/garry-kaspar... To support this initiative, Kasparov's organization has started a petition calling on Scholz to assist Ukraine. The petition can be found here: https://www.deutsche-verantwortung.de

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-24T22:18:06+00:00

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky urges his allies. "Warfare knows no holidays," he says, urging NATO countries to hurry up with promised arms deliveries. They are stalling. The pledges made last month are now being reneged on, according to Zelensky, especially by the US, Britain and France. The delay in arms deliveries, and especially the reluctance to provide Kiev with any, may be a key reason why the Ukrainian army made an unexpected incursion into Russia's Kursk region in early August. Zelensky himself says that if NATO countries had dropped their "red lines" and provided Kiev with, say, long-range surface-to-surface missiles, the risky "Kursk operation" might not have taken place at all. But now Ukraine is said to have no choice but to attack Russian strategic targets located deeper inland, such as bridges or airfields, rather than taking them by storm with just a risky infantry assault.

Berlin, however, seems to be heading in the opposite direction. It intends to gradually reduce its aid to Kiev. At least according to a weekend report in the German press. Germany is said to be planning to reduce aid to Ukraine from eight billion euros this year to four billion euros next year and to give even less in 2026. Furthermore Berlin is refusing to provide Kiev, for example, with its Taurus cruise missiles, i.e. cruise missiles with short and long range. These are extremely effective. They have a range of up to 500 kilometers and can pass through a six-metre concrete wall. They can also operate in ground-to-ground mode.

But even if Hungary could be persuaded to support it, it is necessary for Russian reserves to remain frozen for 10 to 20 years. Because that is how long the proceeds of the reserves will have to be used to repay the 50 billion loan that the EU would take out to help Ukraine. But a freeze for 10 to 20 years effectively means the confiscation of Russian reserves, albeit somehow unacknowledged. Yet the Germans opposed the - admitted - confiscation in the spring when it was proposed by the United States. Germany is thus displaying a schizophrenic attitude: it is invoking as a way out a solution that it itself rejects. This schizophrenic and indecisive attitude is not one of those which, at moments in history, would side with the victors...

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-25T23:14:23+00:00

Danish-Ukrainian startup uses robots and drones to speed up demining efforts

Star Wars actor Mark Hamill and historian Timothy Snyder team up for demining robots for Ukraine

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-25T23:17:01+00:00

Russian Oligarch-Linked Fund Tied to Elon Musk’s Twitter Purchase

ZephirAWT · 2024-08-29T16:50:59+00:00

"Russian planes are better protected by the Western guarantees than Ukrainians." Lithuanian FM Landsbergis

The story is, the Western "democracy" is as dekadent, coward and corrupted, as Putin considered and announced at multiple places. In part of it, the western attitude to Budapest memorandum is laughable and it itself violates international law. At second, why countries still need some treaties for being able to provide help and mercenaries to Ukraine? The allies of Russia are helping Russia at regular basis. The more of countries will do it for Ukraine at the same moment, the more it will be difficult for Putin to retaliate. It just seems for me, the West is waiting for exhaustion of both sides of conflict for being able to rule them both.

It should be noted that just the hesitation of the West to help Czechia with Munich Agreement has enabled Hitler to open WWW II war. Those who can not learn from the past...

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-05T21:11:02+00:00

Ukrainian Forces halt Russian advance, stabilize Pokrovsk front versus Putin says Russia ready for talks with Kyiv

Russia understands only power so that Russia's stance to negotiations is the most reliable indicator of its perception of its war progress.

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-12T12:00:29+00:00

Russian hawk pushes case for Putin to toughen policy on nuclear weapons. Sergei Karaganov told Kommersant newspaper in an interview that Moscow could launch a limited nuclear strike on a NATO country without triggering all-out nuclear war. "The assertion that any limited use of nuclear weapons will necessarily lead to a general nuclear Armageddon does not stand up to criticism," he said.

The Ukrainian incursion of Kursk region did show Western countries that Russia actually has no red lines for usage of nuclear weapons. This incursion thus actually made many Western countries annoyed, because they vindicated their withholding of Ukraine military help just by these alleged red lines and fear of Russia retaliation. See also:

The classical diplomatic doctrine of Russia is, that when it denies something, then it already thinks of it.

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-12T12:09:58+00:00

Denying Russia' only strategy for success Russia cannot defeat Ukraine or the West - and will likely lose - if the West mobilizes its resources to resist the Kremlin. The West’s existing and latent capability dwarfs that of Russia. The combined gross domestic product (GDP) of NATO countries, non-NATO European Union states, and our Asian allies is over $63 trillion.[1] The Russian GDP is on the close order of $1.9 trillion.[2] Iran and North Korea add little in terms of materiel support. China is enabling Russia, but it is not mobilized on behalf of Russia and is unlikely to do so.[3] If we lean in and surge, Russia loses.

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-16T18:33:02+00:00

Ukraine war analyst says Russia keeps surprising him with just how bad its soldiers are: 'The bar is very, very low' this is the only luck for Ukraine, because....

Zelensky: The promised foreign military aid to equip 14 new brigades was not enough for even four

Dominik Tarczyński dropping words on the failure of the European Parliament: Decadent, i.e. coward and greedy Western world as Putin regularly puts on. Every single major West country could equip at least couple brigades each easily if they would have a political will.

Zelenskyy complains West won’t even talk about shooting down Russian missiles “They just change the subject” on that issue, said Ukrainian president. If the allies shoot down missiles together in the sky of the Middle East, why is there still no decision to shoot down drones and missiles over Ukraine? They are scared to even tell us 'they are working on it.' And so far, only Belarus has been seen shooting down Russian drones...

The fundamental reason why so many people in North America and Europe assume that Zelensky would run is that that’s what they would have done

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-22T22:24:19+00:00

Putin Aiming For Victory In Ukraine By 2026: Defense Experts vs. Why the Tide of War Is Suddenly Turning in Ukraine’s Favor

ZephirAWT · 2024-09-27T16:51:54+00:00

The Ukrainians were able to crush an absolutely vital Russian weapon. The Americans wouldn't let them. Ukraine Had A Chance To Blow Up Russia’s Best Warplanes On The Tarmac. The White House Said No—And Now It’s Too Late. Ukraine is still hitting Russian airfields, but only with less destructive drones.

According to the Institute for the Study of War, Russia's huge ammunition depots are very vulnerable. Three successful Ukrainian attacks in the past week prove it. According to analysts at the Washington think tank, this makes it obvious that Western restrictions on weapons use are protecting Russia's rear. See also:

ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.
ISW's interactive map of Ukraine's offensive in Kursk
ISW’s 3D control of terrain topographic map of Ukraine. Use of a computer (not a mobile device) is strongly recommended for using this data-heavy tool.
ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps to access of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-09T08:23:15+00:00

The war is going badly. Ukraine and its allies must change course

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-22T04:22:46+00:00

The usually well-informed French daily Le Monde, citing a source close to Macron, wrote that the differences of opinion concern inviting Ukraine into NATO and allowing Kiev to use long-range missiles on targets deep in the Russian interior.

Germany does not want Ukraine's invitation to NATO. France and the UK, on the other hand, are willing to support it. For the United States, everything depends on the outcome of the November presidential elections. "If Kamala Harris wins, Joe Biden is ready to start the process of admitting Ukraine, he no longer has any major objections to it," the daily Le Monde reported, citing its diplomatic source.

If Donald Trump wins, his administration is unlikely to agree to keep Ukraine in the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation. Trump's vice-presidential nominee, J.D. Vance, has said that in order to reach a ceasefire and peace deal, Ukraine should stay out of NATO. The governments of Slovakia and Hungary are also openly opposed to Ukraine's membership in the alliance.

The four major countries also disagree on allowing Ukrainian strikes deep inside Russia. Britain and France are in favour, the United States and Germany against. "No one will make any major decision before the US election. But one thing they all agree on: even the deployment of long-range missiles on Russian territory would not fundamentally change the course of the war," writes Le Mond.

Any tolerance of Russian annexation of Ukraine will have similar consequences, like the Western tolerance of annexation of Alsase-Loraine by Germany before WWW II. It will not delay the world war, it will make it more imminent. Both Crimea and Luhansk are areas of vast oil and gas deposits and rare earth metals, which will enable Russia to escalate its military industry.

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-24T07:56:57+00:00

Zelenskyy: We Gave Away Our Nuclear Weapons and Got Full-Scale War and Death in Return ""My position is very clear. We gave away our weapons but got nothing in return. Only a full-scale war and death. Therefore, today we have only one way out. We need NATO because we don't have weapons that can stop Putin," Zelenskyy said.

Not only Ukraine but there are rumors that Japan and South Korea are looking to add a nuclear arsenal. Who can blame them, the assurances given when they gave those weapons up so far have not been honored, they’re struggling to survive?

This is what happens when security “assurances” turn out to be worthless. The only conclusion a rational nation can draw from this war is that not having nuclear weapons is a mortal danger. The slippery slope here is in 100 years we are going to see companies that are larger than nuclear nations also getting nukes.

UN said that the population of Ukraine has decreased by 10 million because of the Russian invasion, and already today UN Secretary Guterres in Russia at the BRICS summit

Meanwhile Russia Deploying Strategic Nuclear Forces as Regular Infantry in Ukraine

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-25T17:48:15+00:00

Elon Musk Is Putin’s Best Weapon : Elon Musk and Putin have "regular contact" See also:

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-25T17:54:16+00:00

Lukashenko warns of war if Russia attempts to annex Belarus war against Ukraine apparently

ZephirAWT · 2024-10-31T20:22:28+00:00

Ukraine has received only 10% of latest approved aid from US, Zelenskiy says

This poster first appeared in 1930 in the English language Ukrainian magazine Tryzub

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-05T08:38:31+00:00

A Danish citizen gives Ukraine the equivalent of 7.7 cups of coffee a month as aid (military, financial, and humanitarian aid combined). In New Zealand, each citizen provides Ukraine with 0.1 cups of coffee

Aid to Ukraine costs a European 1.2 cups of coffee a month

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-12T00:57:44+00:00

End the War in 24 Hours or Face Taurus Missile Supply to Ukraine, German Candidate Merz Tells Putin

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-12T18:55:49+00:00

Donald Trump Has 'Obligations' to Those Who Brought Him to Power—Putin Ally

Trump to rely on forces that brought him to power — Russian presidential aide

There is no defeat of the Black Sea Fleet, and Trump needs to take care

Russia is fighting America where its weakest: its morals

Annual Threat Assessment Of The US Intelligence Community

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-13T09:52:54+00:00

The Wall Street Journal reported that President-elect Donald Trump’s team has drafted a proposal to end the ongoing war in Ukraine war on Thursday. Allegedly the plan includes significant conditions: Ukraine should give up its NATO membership aspirations for at least 20 years, the freezing of the current front lines and the establishment of a demilitarized zone between Russian-held territory and Ukraine. The plan is said to exclude the possibility of US troops or UN contingents to monitor and enforce any ceasefire, instead suggesting that Kyiv’s European allies - such as Poland, Germany, Britain, and France – should take on the responsibility.

It would mean that Russia will finally gain the access to oil fields around Crimea, gas fields in Luhansk, lithium reserves in Kherson and so on. The Ukraine boasts approximately 20,000 mineral deposits, covering 116 types of minerals. Key resources include titanium, lithium, beryllium, manganese, gallium, uranium, zirconium, graphite, apatite, fluorite, and nickel. Notably, Ukraine holds the largest titanium reserves in Europe, accounting for 7 percent of the world’s reserves, as well as almost 500,000 tons of lithium. And of course Russia will also access coal and fertile soil reserves in Donbass. Ukraine will shrink into economically insignificant rural state fully dependent on European support and it will become a shadow satellite of Russia again.

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-14T07:48:34+00:00

Zelensky’s nuclear option: Ukraine ‘months away’ from bomb Kyiv could rapidly develop a rudimentary weapon similar to that dropped on Nagasaki in 1945 to stop Russia if the US cuts military aid

Heorhii Tykhyi

Ukraine is committed to the NPT; we do not possess, develop, or intend to acquire nuclear weapons. Ukraine works closely with the IAEA and is fully transparent to its monitoring, which rules out the use of nuclear materials for military purposes.

This is indeed nice but Western countries and Russia were also committed to respect the Ukraine's independence and sovereignty in the existing borders.

Talks about Ukrainian 'nuclear weapons' trying to blur West's reluctance to expand sanctions against Russia

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-15T02:58:30+00:00

Elon Musk joined Trump's call with Zelensky

Elon Musk predicts the imminent end of the war in Ukraine. He commented on the Nesweek news that Trump plans to create an 800-mile demilitarized zone. “The senseless killing will end soon. Time is up for the warmonger profiteers,” Musk wrote.

Russian agent Musk is elected by no one. We already had a demizone in Ukraine from 2016 and we know how it all ended. See also:

Gabbard is now Trump's pick for Director of National Intelligence.

ZephirAWT · 2024-11-18T12:15:05+00:00

Trump, Rente, Jobs: Wie Friedrich Merz das Land regieren würde

Germans will probably go to early elections on 23 February and it is almost certain that the Christian Democrats (CDU) will emerge as the winners. And their boss Friedrich Merz accuses the current Social Democratic Chancellor Olaf Scholz of, among other things, being too afraid of an escalation of the war in Ukraine. Scholz did not and does not want to supply the Ukrainians with the extremely effective and devastating Taurus long-range missiles, capable of hitting targets up to 500 kilometres away, deep in Russian territory. Merz says that if he becomes Chancellor, he will do it. And he'll send in F-16s.

"The Ukrainian government has the right to give Russia an ultimatum: either the attacks on civilian targets will end within 24 hours, or there will be restrictions on the deployment of weapons. And we will deploy the Taurus missiles within a week," Merz told Stern magazine. He also said several times that "Ukraine must win this war." See also:

Ukraine to receive 4000 German attack drones with artificial intelligence Germany is preparing to supply Ukraine with 4,000 advanced drones, informally dubbed “mini-Tauruses,” according to media reports.

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-01T00:34:33+00:00

Joe Rogan's remark on Ukraine is a disgrace to Martial Arts community: 'Tough guys' should not submit to a bully so easily

Donald Trump Confronting NATO

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-01T03:53:57+00:00

’Do You Want Them to Die Without Weapons?’ - Zelensky Responds to Calls to Lower Draft Age. He said that only two and a half of the ten brigades planned with Western allies have been fully equipped, despite agreements made over a year ago See also:

Biden wanted to invite Ukraine to NATO, but changed his mind: Bloomberg gives reason
How Biden Made a Mess of Ukraine - He treated the conflict as a crisis to be managed, not a war to be won

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-05T17:39:28+00:00

It's a war for oil and gas, says Ukrainian geologist (Google autotranslation from Czech) See also:

Why Russia is Invading Ukraine

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-08T05:23:03+00:00

Since the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, 43,000 Ukrainian soldiers have died. This was stated today by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on the social network X. He added that in 370 thousand cases injured Ukrainian soldiers needed treatment. He noted that this figure also includes minor and repeated injuries of soldiers. About half of the injured Ukrainian soldiers later return to duty, he said.

Zelensky also said that Russian losses amount to about 198,000 soldiers killed and more than 550,000 wounded. "One of the key differences between the Russian army and the Ukrainian armed forces is the level of front-line medicine, which is significantly higher here," he added.

Ukranian volunteering process 2024 Similar scenes we can see at the Russian side. Meanwhile, recruiting by USA movie

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-12T00:51:15+00:00

Ukraine's economy is outperforming the Russian economy in several key respects for the first time since the onset of the full-scale invasion in 2022, although it is still a quarter smaller than it was in 2021.

The White House announces a $50 billion loan to Ukraine It's win-win help for both Ukrainians, both Americans. Ukraine with Crimea are essentially an oil and gas fields, it can return the loan easily with its natural resources. And it will constrain Russia which is an added value from geopolitical safety perspective. The totalitarian regimes usually thrive just from natural resources.

Russia's Biggest Weapon Storage Is Almost Depleted, It's Officially Over for Russia - Worst Month Ever Ukrainian forces destroy Russia gains in fierce counterattacks

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-13T06:58:11+00:00

Danish military analyst Anders Puck Nielsen debunks the concept of "peace negotiations" with Russia.

Nielsen is a policy heavyweight. The average piranha is more reasonable and trustworthy than any Russian government has ever been. Russia is not a country with rational government. It is a brain-damaged terminator. At no time in history has Russia expanded without genocide. At no time in Putin’s reign has Russia ever observed any agreement.

NATO must shift to wartime mindset, secretary general warns "Russia is preparing for long-term confrontation, with Ukraine and with us," Mark Rutte said, adding: "We are not ready for what is coming our way in four to five years."

How Russian soldiers understand patriotism I guess, Putin understands it in the same way.

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-14T22:01:08+00:00

Medvedev talked about annexing other regions neighboring Russia. Party members applauded him thunderously.

China Gives Russia Final Warning! Stop With Nuclear Threats., China Ready to Invade Russia in Manchuria I hate living in interesting times...

China Is Cutting Off Drone Supplies Critical to Ukraine War Effort This one looks way more real though.

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-19T06:25:46+00:00

Too Little Too Late: US Allies Say Biden Strategy Cost Ukraine Chance of Victory

Russian and North Korean Troops Shrink Ukraine's Gains in Kursk

Zelensky on Crimea and Donbas: Ukraine currently does not have enough strength to return Donbas and Crimea through military means. Therefore, it relies on diplomacy and pressure on Russian dictator Vladimir Putin See also:

Putin Ally Admits Russia Can't Kick Ukraine out of Kursk by Year End

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-21T05:11:43+00:00

Has World War III Already Begun? An axis of autocracies led by Russia, China, Iran and North Korea is challenging the democratic world order

Losses in Ukraine conflict exceed 1 million people

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-21T06:09:59+00:00

After Spreading Lies About Ukraine, Russia Is in Fact Revamping Its Own Biolabs

Russia might be renovating a Soviet-era laboratory designed to research and handle deadly pathogens, experts say

ZephirAWT · 2024-12-25T07:47:05+00:00

NATO chief says Zelenskyy’s criticism of Scholz is unfair Mark Rutte also said that he, unlike Scholz, would supply Ukraine with Taurus cruise missiles and would not set limits on their use

So is he unfair or not when Zelensky criticizes Scholz for not supplying Taurus missiles?

ZephirAWT · 2025-01-24T00:35:09+00:00

Ukrainian fish: The fish had two options, stay and die or take the risk and survive

ZephirAWT · 2025-02-11T03:32:39+00:00

Russia’s Plans for New World Order Leaked

ZephirAWT · 2025-02-14T22:11:37+00:00

Zelensky refuses to sign document on transfer of 50% of Ukrainian mineral resources to the US It's a tactic to portray Zelenskyy as the one refusing the peace and wanting to keep the fight on, its obvious now really. Who needs an enemy when he has friends like this?

ZephirAWT · 2025-02-14T22:18:58+00:00

Elon Musk’s DOGE Shares Classified U.S. Intel With Entire World Does it have something to do with Musk’s company SpaceX having a $1.8 billion contract to build satellites for the NRO?

Trump Fires Hundreds of Staff Overseeing Nuclear Weapons Russian agent or just a treason?

ZephirAWT · 2025-02-17T02:40:58+00:00

Trump press conference goes horribly wrong

Who needs an enemy when he has friends like this?

ZephirAWT · 2025-02-18T07:34:51+00:00

Revealed: Trump’s confidential plan to put Ukraine in a stranglehold The second violation of Ukraine: Panic in Kyiv as US president demands higher share of GDP than Germany’s First World War reparations

Ukraine cannot possibly meet his $500bn demand in any meaningful timeframe, leaving aside the larger matter of whether it is honourable to treat a victim nation in this fashion after it has held the battle line for the liberal democracies at enormous sacrifice for three years. Who really has a debt to whom, may one ask?

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