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[–]yousaythosethingsFind and Replace "gatekeeping" with "having boundaries" 16 insightful - 1 fun16 insightful - 0 fun17 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

Obergefell is essentially guaranteed to be overturned once Clarence Thomas is Chief Justice. It will be the gay apocalypse in the U.S.

Excuse me, what? What are you basing this on? Once Clarence Thomas becomes Chief Justice? Why is this a done deal in your mind, let alone a likelihood? Only 5 Chief Justices in history served on the Supreme Court as Associate Justices before their appointment, and I see no scenario in which Thomas becomes CJ.

The Chief Justice is not the longest tenured justice serving at a given time. They are generally appointed to the Court for the first time as the Chief.

The current Chief Roberts is 66 and Thomas is 6 years older at 72. We also just started a Democratic presidency so there will be no Republican appointment of a justice, let alone a Chief one for at least 4 more years. At that time, even if Chief Justice Roberts died or retired, Thomas would be 76. Republicans would want to maximize tenure and choose someone young. Selecting a 76-year-old would be a huge waste.

And I’m not sure what special powers you think a Chief Justice has, but their main power is to decide who writes the opinion, but the writer is chosen from among whichever judges were in the majority.

And in reality, the person who actually writes the opinion is a fresh out of law school grad clerking for the judge.

[–]PatsyStoneMaverique[S] 3 insightful - 2 fun3 insightful - 1 fun4 insightful - 2 fun -  (2 children)

And in reality, the person who actually writes the opinion is a fresh out of law school grad clerking for the judge.

The clerks do writing and research for them, the Justices have their own opinions. The only Justice ever accused of having clerks deliver opinions on her behalf was Ginsburg, because she was so frail it was suspected by her detractors she couldn't work anymore.

Justice Thomas is so hot right now

Today the changes on the court have left Justice Thomas uniquely empowered. First, the new conservative majority now requires two defections for the liberals to triumph. Second, as the associate justice with the most seniority, it falls to Justice Thomas to assign the majority opinion when the chief justice comes down on the dissenting side. That presents Chief Justice Roberts with a dilemma: Since he can no longer dictate the outcome by himself, choosing the dissenting side without Justice Kavanaugh invites a Thomas majority opinion.

He's issued essentially a public call for challenges to Section 230 protections for tech companies and the court will be hearing a challenge to Roe v. Wade this year.

I think the current political situation is a lot more volatile than you obviously do. Biden isn't going to last until 2024. There are many rumors about Chief Justice Roberts being forced to step down going around in the conservative press due to an illegal adoption facilitated by Jeffrey Epstein. Seriously.

I also think the general public would not be nearly as outraged as you do by these laws being overturned. It's been a brutal year and people are tired of liberal political activists.

So, that's that. 2021 is going to be absolutely wild to live through!

[–]yousaythosethingsFind and Replace "gatekeeping" with "having boundaries" 4 insightful - 1 fun4 insightful - 0 fun5 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

I went to school with, am friends with, have worked with, and was taught by several SCOTUS clerks including Thomas and Ginsburg. And I’m no stranger to being on the inside of the chambers of the federal judiciary myself. I know how this stuff works, but yes it’s taboo to admit the power recent law school grads have on the development of U.S. federal law. But it is what it is.

Whether Biden or Roberts don’t last until 2024, that still doesn’t give us Chief Justice Thomas and Thomas’s thinking on the issues scares me a lot less than others.

[–]PatsyStoneMaverique[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

I mean, fair enough. I'll go ahead and take your word for it.

I'm honestly a little thrilled I get to talk to someone with that kind of education and access. Are you an attorney?