I don't think Russia is incompetent, but the guy who writes ACoUP is probably smarter and better-informed than I am

submitted by ceck from self.Geopolitics

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[–][deleted] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

IDK what ACoUP is, but according to the leaked documents, our own intelligence seems to conclude that Ukraine is losing very very badly (Ukraine casualties roughly 10x Russia's), and that this counterattack will be inconsequential. Though obviously they will go on television and tell you just the opposite of this so nobody complains about the billions of dollars of weapons we keep sending over there

[–]ceck[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

As a side note, ACoUP is "a collection of unmitigated pedantry" and it's really interesting and entertaining reading.

That aside, I also have seen many smart folks saying that Ukraine is losing very badly. I trust Larry Johnson's judgement in many things, and Larry Johnson linked to:

https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/offensive-confirmed-afu-strikes-hard?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email#media-e65011fe-e710-42c8-a375-d98c3fec7b08

from his site at:

https://sonar21.com/vladimir-putin-does-love-tanks/