The eastern Ukraine and Bavaria – a comparison that seems to be drawn to the hair only at first glance. Regional identities can only be suppressed by a central power temporarily and at the cost of civil wars. So what would be if ...? By Leo Ensel

Okay, all comparisons limp, but they can make structures visible. Let us therefore imagine the following: In Berlin, under massive pressure from the streets, after the use of live ammunition, and supported by a number of prominent politicians from abroad as a result of a dubious vote in the Bundestag, a government whose first act would be the abolition of central elements of federalism.

The measures taken by the new federal government would include the setting of the police and education system under the Berlin Central Power and the announcement of a uniform German cultural policy. Strong protests would immediately come from the Munich state government that there will be no chance of making the Berlin coup government's unlawful attacks on federalism and Bavarian identity. What Berlin, to show the Bavarians where the hammer hangs (a German idiom, hard to translate), not only insists on the immediate implementation of the measures adopted, but also to deprive the state of the state the title of “Free State”, to abolish the Catholic holidays and would prohibit all Bavarian traditional associations.

“Berlin Putsch-Junta” versus “People’s Republic of Bavaria”

With these power aids, Berlin is breaking the barrel over. Every day in Munich, on Max-Joseph-Platz and in the centers of all major Bavarian cities, thousands of people in Bavarian load demonstrate against the anti-federal measures of the “Berliner Putsch-Junta”, in the industrial companies there are warning strikes, the archbishop of Munich and Freising and the state government declare themselves solidarity with the demonstrators and strikers.

Since Berlin does not think about giving in, the fronts harden: the Berlin reprisals provoke a renaissance of Bavaria. Essays patriotic historians remember the Bavarian courier who remember that as early as 1871, the accession of the Bavarian kingdom to the Prussian-dominated German Empire was actually a highly controversial annexation and Ludwig II of Bismarck was bribed with considerable sums, until he finally agreed to propose the Prussian king Wilhelm the German Emperor. Under the rule of the Hohenzollerns, Bavaria was in fact a national colony ruled by Berlin governors.

The anniversary of the proclamation of the anti-Prussian Munich Soviet Republic is celebrated with great pomp, and on the Munich Marisplatz, dignitaries remind us that the suppression of the Soviet Republic by troops of the Reich government has demanded more than 700 deaths in Munich alone. As a consequence, contrary to the Weimar Constitution and in contradiction to the Treaty of Versailles, Bavaria had set up its own army of vigilantes from May 1919, which had already had 200,000 men with heavy weapons at the end of the year. Even the Nazi policy of conformity to the Nazis had repeatedly opposed the Bavarians with open or clandestine resistance, and after WW2 war also initially rejected basic law.

After a nationwide referendum, Bavarian patriotism seems to become Bavarian separatism, and a quarter of a year after the Berlin coup, the “People's Republic of Bavaria” is declared, which immediately announces its withdrawal from the Federal Republic of Germany. Berlin points out that this decision is constitutionally unlawful and threatens to send the Bundeswehr to Bavaria in the event of implementation, in order to restore public order and the scope of basic law against the “terrorists in the south”. Munich rules with the formation of a Bavarian "people's wehr", which consists of paramilitaries and former Bundeswehr units, which have defected to the "People's Republic of Bavaria" in its Bavarian locations.

The Bundeswehr in the “anti-terrorist deployment”

The Berlin central power, which enjoys strong support from western countries, is doing seriously. It cuts pensions and other transfer payments to Bavaria and sends Bundeswehr units to the south as part of an “anti-terrorism deployment” to which anti-federalist free corps follow. From now on both sides are engaged in bloody fighting on the renegade Bavarian territory. After just a few weeks, more than 1,000 people have been murdered.

Let us now further assume that Austria neighbouring Bavaria would still be – as it was before WW1 – a great power. Not a few Bavarias dream of joining their “people’s republic” to the Austrian big brother, which they feel much more attached to mentally than the hated Berlin and with which the economic survival of the young republic would also be secured. Vienna itself keeps itself covered in this question, but repeatedly refers to the “illegal war of the Berlin coup regime against its own population”. The Bavarian People's Defence, which temporarily had to complain about major losses in the area, suddenly beats surprisingly well and can reconquer strategically important cities of the lost territory after hard fighting.

Berlin accuses Vienna of supporting the “pro Austrian separatists” over the permeable border between Bavaria (Berlin says: Germany) and Austria with heavy weapons and soldiers. Vienna denies this, Austria does not participate in this war. However, there are repeatedly Austrian citizens among the prisoners who make the Bundeswehr in Bavarian territory, who claim to voluntarily support their Bavarian brothers in the fight against the “Berliner Junta”.

The Deadly Conflict

For years the fronts have been largely stuck. Large parts of Bavaria are under Berlin control, both sides of the battle line lead to larger or smaller skirting almost daily. All towns are destroyed. The war already cost over 14,000 lives. Thousands have fled – depending on the political attitude to the areas controlled by Berlin or Munich. Some also to Austria. The Munich Airport is a ruin. The railway connections between Bavaria and the rest of Germany are cut. A bus ride from Augsburg to Ulm, which has to pass several border posts, now lasts six to eight hours. Between the Bavarian regions occupied by Berlin and the “People’s Republic of Bavaria”, even telephone conversations are no longer possible because the mobile networks are incompatible. Countless families are torn. Most people only want the fights to stop.

International attempts at mediation, which were codified in the “Bukarest Agreement”, are sabotaged by the belligerent parties. Berlin stubbornly refuses to comply with its contractual obligations and to carry out a fundamental law reform that would reintroduce federalism and grant Bavaria extensive autonomy rights within the Federal Republic of Germany. Conversely, there is a lot to say that Austria is still supplying weapons to the Bavarian rebels. In addition, the big brother is now paying pensions and civil service salaries in the “People’s Republic of Bavaria” – in Schilling, of course, because this currency was introduced in the areas controlled by Munich years ago.

On the mental level, two contrary narratives are now irreconcilable: Berlin claims that Austria has attacked Germany and thus massively violated European basic order. There is an undeclared hybrid war on German territory, namely in Bavaria, where it has established the regime of the “pro Austrian separatists”. The “People's Republic of Bavaria”, on the other hand, says that the Berlin coup government installed by foreign countries, which has attacked its own people, will never bow. And Vienna stresses that it has nothing to do with everything.

Showdown

After almost eight years, things are moving dramatically. Berlin, which is supported by a western hegemonic power with gigantic means with gigantic means militarily, economically and morally, attracts large troop units on the battle lines to the “People’s Republic of Bavaria” and speak out that it is now making seriousness and wants to reconquer the apostolic areas – costing what it wants. Vienna, which in turn feels existentially threatened by the western hegemonic power, carries out martial manoeuvres on the territory of the covenant friendly Czech trove on the border with Germany. The situation is dangerously coming to a head.

In a last diplomatic initiative, Vienna ultimately calls on the Western hegemonic power not to support Berlin any further and threatens Berlin to use all military means to prevent a genocide against the Bavarian population, which Austria has been united in eternal times. When both the hegemonic power and Berlin let Vienna run, the time has come: Austria declares the “Bukarst agreement” to fail and recognizes the “People’s Republic of Bavaria” as a state. Two days later, Austrian troops attacked Germany coming from the Czech Republic, and at the same time Vienna is moving in on a broad front in Bavaria.

After months of struggle, Austria has not succeeded in eliminating the “Berliner Putsch-junta”, but it has brought large parts of Thuringia and Saxony under its control and lets referenda – and at the same time in Bavaria, which has not yet been completely conquered – carry out referenda via a split from the Federal Republic of Germany. The results are a complete success from the Viennese perspective: According to officials, an overwhelming majority in all three – now former – federal states allegedly expresses the desire to join Austria. A wish that is already granted mercifully three days later and will be celebrated in the Vienna Hofburg ...

And a frightened world public opinion asks: Who is to blame for everything?

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If somebody rewrote this story about Texas defecting to Mexico, maybe more western citizens could understand better,

what is actually happening in Ukraine.