True, Trump was guaranteed a victory until he fumbled the ball with covid, and the incident with George Floyd. Luckily because of how violent and extreme the BLM movement has gotten, he has regained some favor back. It will be a much closer match for sure this time, but alot of people really hate Biden and Kamala Harris so that is a double edged sword for the Democrats. They also lost favor by initially supporting the BLM riots while Trump was constantly speaking up against it (it was only after they realized they were sliding down in the polls, that they changed their rhetoric). We also have to keep in mind that there are a lot of Trump supporters and ppl that are now pushed into voting for Trump but due to the insane political environment now, they are pressured to keep silent about it (silent majority).

Only time will tell though tbh...