Russian troops are looting homes and supermarkets in the russian province of Belgorod, as anti-Putin separatists advance

submitted by Site_rly_sux from (t.me)

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[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (16 children)

yeah let me know when the Russian empire falls next week 👍😂

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (15 children)

Okay to be clearer: it's against human nature for them to allow all 20 remaining reserves to be chewed up - so my prediction is that, if Ukraine can maintain this intensity for another week or so, the Z will have to "goodwill gesture".

So my specific prediction is, that we'll see a goodwill gesture from Z before juneteenth weekend

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

Fuck juneteenth. The niggers got their freedom and look how they behave now

[–]JewsAreOfColor 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

They deserve it. You don’t. I just wish they would take their aggressions out on you instead of each other.

[–]JewsAreOfColor 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

This war will end when the illegal western occupation of the Donbass ends, and when the countries that illegally occupied it end. This war will end when all opposition to Russia has been crushed like a bug. I don’t care if that takes the rest of fucking time. The oppressor classes must die by every means necessary, including and especially with weapons of mass destruction that people of color have earned the right to use against cracker terrorists.

The race war is here and this is it. It will end with people of color, including and especially RUSSIANS, triumphing over whiteness.

Whiteness is performative, cracker, and all attemps by “Europeans” to illegally occupy Asian land constitute performative whiteness. selensKKKy is not a Jew any more than KKKarl Marx was. They were both puppets of white supremacist western imperialism.

Long live Russia.

Long live Putin.

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (11 children)

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/06/11/the-ukrainian-army-has-already-lost-half-of-its-unique-leopard-2r-breaching-vehicles/

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (10 children)

Still sticking with my prediction.

We'll see a "good will gesture" from ruZ before Friday, was my prediction. I still think the prediction holds. They'll have to reposition out the land bridge.

I don't need you to give daily updates (because you're not a good source of info).

We can check back in on Friday.

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

Sounds like a plan, stan!

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

I know it isn't Friday yet but I couldn't pass this one up.

https://files.catbox.moe/qi45hz.jpg

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (0 children)

You could say the same about any major operation's first days. Landing in Normandy looked like a failure until it wasn't.

Even if those numbers are true - oryx and minusrus still show the balance of losses in Ukraine's favor

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (6 children)

So....how's it going? Did russia surrender?

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (5 children)

Hello, I was on vacation for the long weekend, but I didn't forget about you.

I am back and can only admit that my prediction was way out of whack - I predicted they'd abandon the land bridge by Friday, and it's now Tuesday, and victories are being measures on the level of klishiivka and pyatykhaty.

I was wrong and it's important for me to evaluate WHY.

I had some faulty assumptions. It's now my job to go back and see - what sources fed those assumptions? What other conclusions did the assumptions inspire?

Here's what I think.

Ruzzia's defense has been aligned with their doctrine, which was a surprise I think to a lot of people, given how their assaults were totally improvised. I have been surprised at ruzzia's deployment of rotor and fixed wings during Ukraine counterattacks, and I have also been surprised that their organisation and resupplies have, effectively held together even though there are local reports of thirst, cholera and malaria, himars and storm shadow nonsense.

My conclusion is that ruzzia's back-line organisation is far beyond what I expected. I will try to learn more about the topic of their back-line doctrines, because it was a major blind spot for me here.

I will revise my prediction.

I no longer think a week or two til Berdiansk.

But Zelensky promised beers on the beech this year, and so far reality cleaves to his word. It will be too cold in krym by October, so he has a few months yet.

I do not believe that my misunderstanding of ruzzia's high back-line organisation, overall impacts my predictions for the overall course of this war. I still think the land bridge will have to be evacuated, but we're looking at weeks instead of days.

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (4 children)

Props for keeping your word

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (3 children)

Well, what about you, do you feel like events matched your predictions? If not, did you hold any faulty assumptions?

I mean, if you compare Ukraine's land gains since the beginning of the offensive - compared with the fact they've visibly lost 15% of their leopards, 0% of their challengers, 0% Abrams - and finally balanced against the damage inflicted on ruzzia, including the loss of their annexed clay....

Did it match your predictions? Or did you underestimate Ukraine

[–]Oyveygoyim 1 insightful - 1 fun1 insightful - 0 fun2 insightful - 1 fun -  (2 children)

I thought it would've been over quickly when it began. I didn't think they would get all the help they've gotten. So my prediction was way off as well.

I still think Russia will win because at the end of the day war is usually a numbers game. Ukraine has the better tech yet russia has the numbers in soldiers. That high tech equipment is useless if nobody is left to use it.

Hopefully it ends soon since it's whites against whites.

[–]Site_rly_sux[S] 2 insightful - 1 fun2 insightful - 0 fun3 insightful - 1 fun -  (1 child)

They are good will gesturing right now.

I was literally seven days too early. Tonight the ruzzian army is leaving the land bridge. The war is over today